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European Salon de News, Discussion et Klatsch - 26 July

by dvx Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 03:30:15 PM EST

 A Daily Review Of International Online Media 


Europeans on this date in history:

1893 - birth of George Grosz, German painter (d. 1959)

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The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman

by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:57:16 AM EST
Will round-the-clock police surveillance be legacy of London Olympics? | McClatchy

LONDON -- To understand the gargantuan security operation that authorities have prepared for the Olympic Games that open here Friday - nearly twice as many military troops are on the streets as Britain has deployed in Afghanistan, for starters - it helps to remember what happened the morning after London won the right to host these games seven years ago.

On July 7, 2005, homegrown militants detonated bombs in the city's Underground subway and on a passenger bus, killing dozens in one of the worst terrorist attacks in the country's history.

While there's no evidence that attack was linked to the Olympic bid, it's had an unmistakable impact on planning for these games. The 10,000 athletes competing for medals will be dwarfed by a contingent of more than 36,000 soldiers, police officers and private security staff, backed by American law enforcement agents, thousands of closed-circuit cameras, unmanned drones, at least six missile batteries positioned on rooftops in East London and the Royal Navy's largest warship, the HMS Ocean, floating in the Thames.

"Lockdown London," read one headline in the Guardian newspaper.

Authorities stress that there's no specific threat to the games, but any attempt to deflect attention from the combat-grade planning evaporated last week, when the private security firm G4S shamefacedly admitted that it would fail to deliver all of the 10,000 personnel it had promised to guard Olympic venues.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:07:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC News - Strike on eve of Games called off

A public sector strike involving border staff, due on the eve of the Olympics, has been called off by union officials.

The Public and Commercial Services union said the government had agreed to create hundreds of new jobs, although this is denied by the Home Office.

Thursday is expected to be Heathrow airport's busiest day ever as thousands of spectators arrive for the Games.

The first Olympic event - women's football - has kicked off in Cardiff, two days before the opening ceremony.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:52:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Graffiti artist who worked for Adidas is banned from Olympic Games venues | Art and design | The Guardian

When Adidas wanted to create a mural to illustrate the launch of its new football boot last year, it turned to "professional graffiti artist" Darren Cullen for help. Cullen, 38, runs a firm providing spraycan artwork and branding to major international companies, and says he has never painted illegally on a wall or train.

But despite having worked with one of the Games's major sponsors, on Tuesday Cullen was arrested by British Transport Police (BTP) and barred from coming within a mile of any Olympic venue, as part of a pre-emptive sweep against a number of alleged graffiti artists before the Olympics.

BTP confirmed that four men from Kent, London and Surrey, aged between 18 and 38, had been arrested on suspicion of conspiracy to commit criminal damage, two of whom were also further arrested on suspicion of incitement to commit criminal damage.

They were bailed until November under strict conditions restricting their access to rail, tube and tram transport, preventing them from owning spray paint or marker pens, and ordering them not to go near any Olympic venue in London or elsewhere. None has been charged.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 01:00:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Personally I have only minor reservations about the excessive security in place for the O games. It's too expensive to maintain, however much the authoritarians would love to keep it, plus its very specific purpose is operationally easy but to keep it going with a wider remit is beyond any demonstrated ability of whitehall to administer.

That said, I am, like I believe many people, pissed off beyond imagining that the government mis-handled the contract with G4S. Before the Thatcher revolution the idea of hiving it off for private profit would have been unthinkable, it still should be. But that it had no penalty clause and involved such eye-watering amounts of profit is simply disgusting and reveals the priorities of those who were running the games.

it was never about us, it was always about the profit

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:51:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
While terrorist bombing of some sort is a threat, it really seems as if they're worried about a repeat of the 9/11 attacks, with hijacked planes being used as missiles.  While the police presence can, at least in theory, be deployed against a variety of threats, the Typhoons and SAM's are only really useful against 1) an air strike, or 2) a 9/11 style air attack.

Train, bus, car, and package bombs are still a threat, but does anyone seriously think that a second 9/11 style attack can actually happen?  Rhetorical question, I suppose, but still.  Over at Salon.com, Patrick Smith, a regular aviation columnist, has rather convincingly argued that the primary weapon the 9/11 attackers had on their side was surprise - nobody on the planes expected their hijackers to use them as missiles.  With that surprise out the window, the chance of such an attack being pulled off a second time seems vanishingly small.

by Zwackus on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 05:27:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I've always had a pet theory that they bang on about aircraft so much because, post 9-11, it's the most secure form of transportation. It's easier to police if you keep drawing the eye of the nutters towards one mode of transportation, the one they have least chance of getting at, than if you try to police all of them.

Leastways, I hope that's what's happening cos you just couldn't keep doing it for the Tube or buses

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 06:38:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The primary weapon the 9/11 hijackers had was the remarkable coincidence that a scheduled anti-terror exercise was scheduled for the same day - which is why the planes weren't intercepted, as they would have been normally.

The Olympic security appears to be pure terror panto.

Considering how easy it would be to blow some shit up almost anywhere in London, the military presence seems almost entirely pointless and disconnected from realistic threats.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 07:30:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
as they would have been normally.

When, pre 9/11, has the military ever intercepted a hijacked plane?

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 08:02:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That appears impossible to google without landing on pages discussing 9/11...

Wikipedia states:
Wikipedia's take on it

On September 11, 2001, four commercial airliners were hijacked and deliberately crashed. American Airlines Flight 11, departing from Boston, was flown into the North Tower of World Trade Center at 8:46 a.m. United Airlines Flight 175, also departing from Boston, was flown into the South Tower at 9:03. American Airlines Flight 77, departing from Washington, was flown into the Pentagon at 9:37. United Airlines Flight 93, departing from Newark, crashed near Shanksville, Pennsylvania at 10:03.

Standing orders on September 11 dictated that, upon receiving a request for assistance from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) would normally order escort aircraft to approach and follow an aircraft that was confirmed to be hijacked in order to assure positive flight following, report unusual observances, and aid search and rescue in the event of an emergency.[1] The 9/11 Commission determined that on the morning of September 11, the FAA did not adequately notify NORAD of the hijackings of Flights 11, 175, 77 or 93 in time for escort aircraft to reach the hijacked flights.[citation needed]Notification of the hijacking of Flight 11 prompted the scrambling of two fighter jets from Otis Air National Guard Base, but they were not in the air until after Flight 11 had hit the North Tower. An erroneous FAA report of a hijacked plane heading towards Washington ("phantom Flight 11") prompted the scrambling of three more fighters from the 1st Fighter Wing at Langley Air Force Base, which due to poor communications, ended up flying eastward, out to sea, instead of heading toward Washington, significantly delaying their arrival on the scene.[2]



A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!
by A swedish kind of death on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:21:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Which suggests that even if they had followed them, they would have only "reported unusual observances", such as a plane hitting a building.
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Fri Jul 27th, 2012 at 03:44:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
A small private aircraft filled with explosives would be bad enough. You need not invoke the full highjacked large aircraft scenario to justify air defense weapons.
by oliver on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:38:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Firing air defense weapons somewhere like London is likely to be pretty much as dangerous as a small aircraft with explosives.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 12:25:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You could put a few tons of explosives into a small aircraft. And it might hit a very densely packed crowd in a stadium, where it might trigger a bad panic. Debris raining down over London isn't good, but it is the better alternative.
by oliver on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:57:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
And a couple of misaimed missiles impacting buildings or stadia? You'd want to be very sure how much explosive was in an aircraft before you shot it down.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:18:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Top German court rules against electoral law | News | DW.DE | 25.07.2012

The German Constitutional Court has declared a reform of parliamentary electoral law unconstitutional. The decision is being seen as a blow to Chancellor Angela Merkel's ruling coalition.

The Karlsruhe court ruled on Wednesday that the reforms pushed through by Merkel's coalition in November 2011 ran contrary to principles of equality and direct suffrage.

It also ruled that the changes did not offer an equal opportunity to all parties in a fair manner.

The result is viewed as a victory for the parliamentary groups of the opposition SPD and the Greens, as well as the more than 3,000 citizens who brought the case.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:07:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
A radio report this morning raised the prospect that, if Merkel should be forced into holding a vote of confidence (for example, if the Court throws out the fiscal compact, or the back-benchers mutiny) and lose, it would not be possible to hold a parliamentary election by regular means.

In such a case the Court apparently would have to dictate the election rules itself.

The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman

by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:33:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Excuse me, what?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:57:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I know, right?

The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 06:28:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Democracy, whatever!

(from a sticker an old office mate had on his wall)

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 07:20:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
LOL
by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 07:09:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Does an unconstitutionality ruling not roll back the law to the statu quo ante? Is if a partial or total unconstitutionality of the reform?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:59:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
But the statu quo ante had already been declared unconsititutional back in 2008...
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 04:32:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So, under what rules were the 2009 elections contested?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 04:43:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Presumably the old, unconstitutional ones. Here is the 2008 ruling.

  1. § 7 Absatz 3 Satz 2 in Verbindung mit § 6 Absätze 4 und 5 des Bundeswahlgesetzes in der Fassung des Siebzehnten Gesetzes zur Änderung des Bundeswahlgesetzes vom 11. März 2005 (Bundesgesetzblatt I Seite 674) verletzt Artikel 38 Absatz 1 Satz 1 des Grundgesetzes, soweit hierdurch ermöglicht wird, dass ein Zuwachs an Zweitstimmen zu einem Verlust an Sitzen der Landeslisten oder ein Verlust an Zweitstimmen zu einem Zuwachs an Sitzen der Landeslisten führen kann.

  2. Der Gesetzgeber ist verpflichtet, spätestens bis zum 30. Juni 2011 eine verfassungsgemäße Regelung zu treffen.

  3. Im Übrigen werden die Wahlprüfungsbeschwerden zurückgewiesen.

  4. Die Bundesrepublik Deutschland hat die notwendigen Auslagen dieses Verfahrens dem Beschwerdeführer zu 1. vollumfänglich und dem Beschwerdeführer zu 2. zur Hälfte zu erstatten.
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 05:25:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
When was the last time the election rules were constitutional?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 05:29:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
We all have forgotten that...
by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 07:10:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Formally 2002 as the version of 2005 was found unconstitutional. Factually probably 1953.
by oliver on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:49:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Unconstitutionality usually means that the matter is not governed by any law, as the previous law was already superseded by the one declared unconstitutional.

And the core of the ruling is that certain provisions for the allocation of seats unacceptably distort the proportions of seats according to the raw popular vote. That's pretty total.

The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman

by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 06:27:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
No, there is no automatism, the court must decide that in each ruling. The Constitution al Court has three options when they declare a law unconstitutional:
a)    they can decide that no law is better than the unconstitutional one
b)    they can leave the unconstitutional law in force for a period of time
c)    they can write so many details in their decision that it is practically a new law.

b) and c) are problematic, because the Constitutional Court is no legislative body. They really shouldn't act as one. There is no court to sanction it if they do though. :-)  B) and c) are the rule, a) is the exception. The court only chooses a) if they are really pissed off with the legislator. I only can think of two decisions where they chose a) like now.

by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 07:23:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So the situation now is that the Court is pissed off with the legislator and "no law" rules?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 07:25:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
No, the court is VERY pissed off. They point out in their decision that last time they generously gave a very long period to make a new law, which the legislator did not use for careful work. So they wouldn't make that mistake again...

I don't think we can vote without having a new law first. I guess in case of need (because of a lost no confidence vote) the Bundestag will hurry to get a new law ready before they dissolve. It's only a guess though. The situation is very unusual.

by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 07:54:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The situation is very unusual.

This is one of those things which, when said about electoral law, is not calculated to make people sleep soundly at night.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 08:07:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So does this mean that Merkel can remain in power indefinitely, or to the justices have other options in such a case?
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 08:12:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Merkel is in power indefinitely anyway, but the Bundestag isn't: they are elected for four years. We have to vote next year (or before).

There is a slight chance that this time the Bundestag does its homework properly. Or else we will vote with a law that was hurriedly brought through the Bundestag and that will be found to be unconstitutional again--afterwards. In the most unlikely case the court will dictate a law. But we will vote, dead sure.

I find the tension between government and constitutional court is very good news.  

by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 08:23:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Merkel is in power indefinitely anyway

Come again?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:07:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The Bundestag elects a chancellor who remains in power until the Bundestag elects someone else (or the chancellor resigns or dies). There is a tradition that chancellers have to resign before a newly elected Bundestag's first session. They are then re-elected. This is only a tradition, though.
by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:16:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Is there a concept of "caretaker government" between one parliament and the next?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:25:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Not really. It is only for one night that we are without a chancellor, because the tradition lets them resign on the day before the re-election.
by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:28:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, no. Definitely no. The office of chancellor ends with the assembly of the new Bundestag after the election. The president may ask the chancellor to carry on as a caretaker.

Article 69 of the constitution makes this very clear.

by oliver on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:55:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Right. Learnt something new. But why do they resign before a new Bundestag is in session then?
by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:01:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
For the same reason ministers usually resign even if they could be fired? I don't know.
by oliver on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:15:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:10:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The president may ask the chancellor to carry on as a caretaker.

And the Chancellor may not refuse.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:11:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You can relax. "Indefinite" isn't "forever". I have scared you with my wording, haven't I?
by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:20:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
No, Merkel has with her presence.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:25:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Wait, and this is the same German Constitutional Court and Bundestag that we were talking about here and in whose hands is the democratic future of the Eurozone?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:02:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Right. That's the court that has very bad relations with Merkel. I mean, really bad relations. Which is good news.
by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:18:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm curious: Why is it good news?

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.
by Bernard on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:12:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Because a constitutional crisis in Germany is just what the doctor ordered to solve the Euro crisis?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:13:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Because Merkel would be putiing herself on the wrong side of Article 20, paragraph 4 of the German Basic Law?

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:23:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]
For Merkel democracy has to conform with the market. She said so openly, and couldn't even imagine that people might find that wrong. Ordinary right wing governments are bad enough, but she is in an extra class: completely anti-democratic. An uncritical constitutional court would be hell.
by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:25:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Merkel isn't anti-democratic.

Afghanistan is unpopular -> Merkel flips on military intervention
Fukushima accident -> Merkel flips on energy policy

and you can find more examples if you want to.

Now with confirming with the market, how would you fund the government if you need to sell bonds to do so and nobody buys them?

by oliver on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:02:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You just have to encourage a market panic and everyone will want to buy German bonds.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:48:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Afghanistan is not just "unpopular". It is quite obviously so incredibly stupid that the only two reasons to stay there is transatlanticism and the wish to get people used to even more militarisation. Yet Merkel apparently wants that the Bundeswehr stays there much longer than other countries. And which idiots want that Germany has a military, and worse, that  this military is found all over the world?

After decades of fierce struggle over nuclear power the red/green government had started the exit. Then came the tiger-duck government and started the very unpopular exit from the exit. There were gigantic demonstrations against it. I know, because I was there. And like everyone I was surprised about the very high turnout. Great, the anti-nuke movement was still able to mobilise! And that was only the beginning of the campaign, the warming up phase. Without Fukushima Merkel would have had an enormous problem, because nukes are really unpopular in Germany. After Fukushima it was impossible for her.

My dear, if you don't want to fund the state by buying bonds for which you would very generously even get interest, you can pay tax. It's really your decision.

by Katrin on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 04:30:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Athens and Madrid, now that are fierce demonstrations. The German anti-nuke crowd is fundamentally not impacted in the same manner. The personal economic situation always comes first with the majority unless there is a clear and present danger.
by oliver on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 06:35:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, there is a clear and present danger. Which is why there is a clear majority against nuclear too, and Merkel had to learn what that means. And she couldn't blame the Greeks.
by Katrin on Fri Jul 27th, 2012 at 01:55:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, instead of the disguised money creation of selling bonds to private actors, which fools lots of people, but doesn't change the reality, we could be honest about the reality and sell the bonds to the central bank...
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 05:03:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Because the Maastrict Treaty was written by idiots, this is not permissible.

However, you can create a government charter bank, capitalize it with government bonds, have it buy government bonds on issue, and then have the central bank buy the government bonds off of the charter bank. Because according to the idiots who wrote the Maastrict Treaty, passing through the bid-ask spread of a nominally private bank turns the bonds from debt instruments into monetary instruments.

You know the economics profession is full of shit when it implicitly endorses money laundering.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 05:31:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
It's not idiocy, it's a great achievement in central banking.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 05:59:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Berlin relaxed after Moody's warning | Germany | DW.DE | 25.07.2012

US ratings company Moody's still maintains its Aaa status for Germany but has changed the outlook from stable to negative. Berlin insists it is unfazed by the news but Moody's has also changed the outlook for the EFSF.

For France's former President Nicolas Sarkozy it was a question of national and probably personal pride: A downgrade of France's top-notch credit rating was simply unacceptable. Sarkozy was upset about the idea that the three leading ratings agencies had the power to question the credit worthiness of entire countries. At times, the US-based agencies were perceived even as enemies of France that needed to be fought off. But in January, the dreaded downgrade was issued after all: Standard & Poor's cut France's rating from "AAA" to the second-best level, "AA+".

More than just a question of prestige

Germany is no doubt increasingly affected by the euro crisis

Germany so far still enjoys a top rating from all the three major agencies - and the government in Berlin quickly said it was not concerned about the warning from Moody's that this might change in the future. But ratings are more than just a question of prestige: if a country is hit with a downgrade it will have to pay higher interest when borrowing on the international financial markets. The possible consequences of which can be seen in the case of Spain: the country is already plagued by excessive debt and now has to pay around seven percent interest on its freshly-issued government bonds.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:07:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Austerity doesn't seem such a good idea when it strikes close to home, does it ?

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:58:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Scotland to legalise same-sex marriages in church and civil ceremonies | Society | guardian.co.uk

The Scottish government is to introduce new powers to legalise same-sex marriages in churches and in civil ceremonies, despite vigorous and bitter opposition from church leaders.

A draft bill that will enable gay and lesbian couples to marry with the same legal rights as heterosexual couples will be published later this year and is expected to be enacted next year, after Scottish ministers resisted intense pressure from the Catholic church to drop the proposals.

The legislation will include significant new protections and "conscience clauses" for churches and individual clergy who object to gay marriage on religious grounds, said Nicola Sturgeon, the deputy first minister.

But she added that opposition to the bill - which included 64% of the 62,000 responses from within Scotland to the Scottish government's consultation - had not persuaded her to drop or dilute the measures.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:08:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Excellent news. I think it's coming here too, although without the church bit.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:59:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
'Dusseldorf Cell' terror trial starts | News | DW.DE | 25.07.2012

A high-profile trial against several German members of al Qaeda has begun. Investigators have charged the men with planning a terrorism attack on German soil.

A German regional appeal court began proceedings on Wednesday against several alleged Islamist terrorists. Public prosecutors have charged the four with plotting a "sensational" terrorist attack on Germany. They have also been charged with belonging to al Qaeda.

Police apprehended three alleged members of the terror cell in April 2011 in Germany's northwest city of Düsseldorf. The following December, the police arrested a fourth supposed member of the so-called "Düsseldorf Cell" in a nearby city.

Investigators have said that the German group had begun building explosives, but had not yet chosen a specific target.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:08:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Slovakia's borders: Tunnel vision | The Economist

SLOVAK officials discovered a 700-metre tunnel complete with its own train used to smuggle goods and maybe people from neighbouring Ukraine into the European Union (EU). They seized some 13,100 boxes of cigarettes and arrested a pair of men caught in the act. This has never happened before. "It is as if this has been cut out of a movie from the Mexican-American border," Peter Kažimír, the finance minister, said.

The bust came as a joint effort between tax and customs officials in an operation code named "Tax Cobra." Robert Kaliňák, the interior minister, said officials detained two men loading a truck on July 18th, confiscating a tobacco haul that would have bypassed some €350,000 in excise tax. Police had to fire warning shots as the 59-year-old alleged ringleader - who was renting the industrial property where the tunnel emerged -- sought to flee the scene.

The tunnel begins in a house in the Ukrainian city of Uzhorod and exits inside a building some 220 metres into Slovak territory on private property between the villages of Vyšné Nemecké and Nižné Nemecké. Officials estimate the tunnel could have helped dodge up to €50 m in tobacco tax over the past year.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 01:01:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Air France supprime la desserte aérienne Strasbourg-Roissy | Le Monde Air France removes air service Strasbourg-Roissy | Le Monde
Air France a confirmé mardi 24 juillet son projet, révélé la veille par la CFDT, de mettre fin à la desserte aérienne entre Strasbourg et Roissy Charles-de-Gaulle à compter de décembre 2012 et de proposer à la place une desserte ferroviaire en partenariat avec la SNCF.
Tuesday, July 24, Air France confirmed its plan, revealed yesterday by the CFDT, to put an end to air services between Strasbourg and Paris Charles de Gaulle from December 2012, and offer instead a rail service in partnership with SNCF.
"A moins de trois heures de TGV, on ne peut pas lutter", a expliqué une porte-parole d'Air France. "C'est une ligne structurellement déficitaire depuis l'arrivée du TGV en 2007", a-t-elle ajouté. Au départ de Strasbourg, Air France, en revanche, va ouvrir des lignes vers Rome et Vienne à partir de cet automne et renforcer les dessertes de Nice et Toulouse, a-t-on indiqué à la direction du groupe."With less than three hours by TGV, we can't compete," , said a spokeswoman for Air France. "This line has been in structural deficit since the arrival of the TGV in 2007" , she added. From Strasbourg, on the other hand, Air France will open this autumn lines to Rome and Vienna and increase services to Nice and Toulouse, the group's management announced.

Meanwhile, the government is considering dropping 14 TGV line projects which would mean handing traffic over to air. Grrrrr.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:03:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The possible loss of the Paris - Toulouse TGV is unbelievably short sighted.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:01:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Austerity virus strikes again: F.Hollande and JM.Ayrault want to be part of the Serious PeopleTM. At this rate, they may become the French Zapatero and Papandreou...

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.
by Bernard on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:36:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Daily Morning Newsbriefing: Eurogroup considers direct purchases of Spanish bonds (26.07.2012)
This is our last briefing before the summer break - back on Monday, August 13; Süddeutsche Zeitung reports that the eurogroup is considering direct EFSF purchases of Spanish bonds from Spanish banks; the purchases would be conducted by the ECB on behalf of the EFSF; Germany is ready to support this operation, but officials warn they are not certain of whether a Bundestag would approve it given the faltering support for rescue operations; it might also take some time until the purchases happen, as Spain needs to make a formal application, and the ECB has to issue a formal recommendation, before this is put to a vote; Ewald Nowotny yesterday moved markets when he said in an interview that the ESM should get a banking licence; Spanish yields improved for the first time in 10 days, and the euro rose back to over $1.21; El Pais writes the ECB is currently studying a number of options to help Spain and Italy, including new collateral rules; it writes that attempts to endow the ESM with a banking licence are likely to hit severe opposition by the Bundesbank and other central banks; Neal Kimberley writes that a banking licence would increase the ESM's contingent liabilities that fall disproportionately on Germany; the Ifo index fell to 103.3, the lowest level since March 2010, amid rising evidence that Germany may have entered a recession; Christian Noyer says ECB policy is not working, as the transmission channels are blocked, which is why a banking union is urgently needed; Gene Frieda, meanwhile, argued that the size and structure of Europe's firewall needs to be changed.  


If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:12:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Migeru:
officials warn they are not certain of whether a Bundestag would approve it given the faltering support for rescue operations

This is going to be fun.

The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman

by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:35:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Eurointelligence:
Suedeutsche Zeitung writes this morning that the eurogroup is considering help for Spain in the form of bond purchases. The plan is for the EFSF to purchase government bonds from financial institutions, but this requires a formal application by the Spanish government. The article quotes an official as saying that this, together with the loan for the Spanish banks, would solve the problem (are the kidding? It might alleviate the pressure, but how could this solve the problem?) The article says Germany is not in principal opposed to bond purchases, but warns that the Bundestag's special committee may not agree given the faltering support for any further rescue operations . The article says, procedurally, Spain needs to apply for help, the ECB would then have to write a recommendation.


If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 04:45:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Süddeutsche:
Offiziell will sich die Bundesregierung nicht zu den Wünschen Spaniens äußern. In Regierungskreisen hieß es, man lehne Anleihekäufe nicht generell ab, zunächst müsse aber die Sanierung des maroden Bankensektors vorankommen. Ein Problem ist zudem, dass das sogenannte Neuner-Gremium des Bundestags zustimmen müsste. Ihm gehören Abgeordnete aller fünf Fraktionen an, die Treffen sind geheim, weil die Finanzmärkte über Zeitpunkt und Art der Anleihekäufe im Unklaren gelassen werden sollen.

Ob die fünf Koalitionsvertreter in dem Gremium aber angesichts bröckelnder Mehrheiten für das Krisenmanagement der Europäer zustimmen würden, ist fraglich. Paris dagegen unterstützt den Plan offenbar. Staatspräsident François Hollande forderte am Mittwoch rasche und entschlossene Hilfe.

Officially, the federal government does not express itself on Spain's wishes. In government circles there was no opposition to bond purchases generally, but first the repair of [Spain's] ailing banking sector had to move forward. A problem on this is that the so-called nine-panel of the Bundestag would have to agree. To it belong MPs from all five parliamentary groups, and the meetings are secret because the financial markets must be left in the dark about the timing and nature of bond purchases.

It is questionable whether the five coalition representatives on the committee would agree given the crumbling majorities for European crisis management. Paris, however, openly supports the plan. On Wednesday President Francois Hollande called for swift and decisive assistance.



If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 05:02:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"We're looking a new options."

"We're exploring all possibilities."

"The check is in the mail."

by tjbuff (timhess@adelphia.net) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:15:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The Guardian:
Paying a plumber cash in hand is "morally wrong" because it denies the revenue vital funds, a Treasury minister said as the government outlined new ways of cutting down on £5bn in tax avoidance.

David Gauke, the exchequer secretary to the Treasury, risked shining a spotlight on whether any of his government colleagues have ever made cash in hand payments to plumbers when he described the practice as a large part of Britain's "hidden economy".

So, are there any moral perverts in the the British Governement? The Guardian reports:
David Cameron, Boris Johnson and Nick Clegg all admitted that they have made cash-in-hand payments to tradesmen as Downing Street struggled to control a debate on the morality of tax.
Any what about the moral values of Gauke himself? The Evening Standard:
The comments will add further woe to Mr Gauke who found himself accused of hypocrisy after it emerged that in 2006/7 he used his parliamentary expenses to cover the cost of the stamp duty when he moved home.

He claimed £10,248.32 in payments for his second home which included "Inland Revenue Stamp Duty" of £8,550. The rest was made up of solicitor's fees, land registry and property searches.

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:43:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Independent - Letters

Tax evasion and avoidance is said to deprive the Government of at least £69bn per year. Some estimates are twice that figure. The UK's budget deficit is likely to be between £100bn and £120bn in 2012-13. So tax evasion burns a large hole in the nation's pocket.

David Gauke, the Exchequer Secretary, said HMRC reckoned cash-in-hand accounts for £2bn a year in lost tax revenue. Most households have paid cash-in-hand for the discount, so there is little cross-subsidy by full taxpayers for those who avoid tax just occasionally.

Why lecture us on a couple of hundred pounds when this government is letting millionaires and multinationals off the hook for millions? It is breathtaking hypocrisy, and this Government has no moral right to lecture anyone on what is right or wrong.

Jack H G Darrant



keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 06:34:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
On Twitter, they are saying this fellow's partner is a tax-avoidance attorney.
by Upstate NY on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:33:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
ECB Finds a Way to Buy Sovereign Debt
Mr. Draghi noted that in so far as the premiums on government borrowing hurt monetary-policy transmission, the ECB has the mandate to lower those premiums. It is quite clear that sovereign-debt yields in Spain, Italy and Greece are at levels crippling to the private sector.

In order to ensure the transmission of credit to households and businesses in the financially-stressed euro-zone nations, the ECB needs to drive down sovereign-debt yields from their current crippling levels-yields on Spanish two-year paper spiked above 7% this week. Set against an inflation rate of below 2%, five percentage point real yields are stifling the Spanish economy and defeating the ECB's various measures to kick-start it back into growth. A similar story is happening elsewhere.

How can the ECB reverse these extraordinarily high real yields? By buying bonds.

There are restrictions on this sort of intervention-the ECB is prohibited from monetizing debt, or buying bonds directly from issuing governments.

Which is why the ECB bought bonds in the secondary market (not directly from governments) with the "Security Markets Program" (SMP). This is really confusing. Then the guy goes into a discussion of the LTRO and does not mention the SMP.
Now it seems Mr. Draghi is willing to ignore restrictions on debt monetization.

The best way for the ECB to drive down yields across the region is to throw itself into wholesale purchases of Spanish and Italian debt. In theory the ECB is only limited by how fast it can run its printing presses. And in the days of electronic finance, that's essentially the speed of light.

Legally, this might be subject to challenge, although Mr. Draghi presented the ECB's defense: direct buying of debt is necessary for the ECB to keep its mandate to generate monetary policy appropriate to the needs of the euro zone.



If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:53:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The ECB: Thinking about maybe doing its job, after only five years and two and a half failed states.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:44:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Comment is Free: Spain needs Mariano Rajoy to be decisive (Ignacio Escolar, 26 July 2012)
The errors of recent months are very clear today and the analysts of both the left and the right share the same diagnosis. Rajoy made a mistake when he did not name a shadow government more than a year ago to prepare for the transition. Instead of that, he preferred to keep quiet about who his ministers would be until the very last minute, so as not to have to give explanations to those he left out. The whole cabinet only knew what their portfolios were the day before taking possession of them, which delayed most of the appointments and the most urgent decisions.

Rajoy also made a mistake when he did not want to appoint a vice-president for economic affairs, at the very moment when this figure was most necessary. He did this so as not to go against treasury minister Cristóbal Montoro - a party man - who refused to accept Luis de Guindos, today minister of the economy, as his boss as vice-president. Montoro and De Guindos have a terrible relationship. But instead of resolving that problem and opting for one or the other, Rajoy decided to place both at the same level and not to appoint either above the other. This has caused numerous conflicts, because Montoro and De Guindos have totally contrasting views on many crucial topics - such as the raising of VAT or the bad bank - and they cannot work as a team.

Rajoy made another mistake when he delayed the state budget until after the Andalucía elections. Instead of approving it as soon as possible, he preferred to wait until March, to see whether the PP candidate would triumph in Andalucía - an autonomous region that has historically been in the hands of the socialists. This was a twofold mistake: not only did he lose those elections again, but he also lost some months that proved vital later. The budget came into effect just a few weeks ago and it has been necessary to amend it urgently at the last minute, by decree-law.



If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:15:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]
 ECONOMY & FINANCE 


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:57:33 AM EST
Shock 0.7% fall in UK GDP deepens double-dip recession | Business | guardian.co.uk

Britain's economic output collapsed by 0.7% in the second quarter of 2012 as the country's double-dip recession extended into a third quarter.

Across-the-board weakness in manufacturing and construction coupled with the loss of output caused by the extra bank holiday to mark the Queen's diamond jubilee were responsible for the setback, according to data from the Office for National Statistics.

Analysts in the City had expected a 0.2% drop in gross domestic product in the three months to June and were stunned by the scale of the fall in activity. The decline followed the 0.3% fall in the first three months of 2012 and a 0.4% decline in the final quarter of 2011.

Construction output dropped by 5.2% between the first and second quarters of 2012, with industrial production falling by 1.3% and service sector output by 0.1%



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:08:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Funny how reducing employment and wages for practically all sectors reduces demand across the whole of the economy.

Still, so long as the bank bonuses are fine, why should the conservative govt care ?

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:03:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Oh, it's not that bad.

There's some uncertainty because of the - um - weather. And the Jubilee.

And stuff like that.

So it may only have been a 0.5% drop. Yay.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 07:38:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And next time there will be the Olympics.
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 08:01:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Isn't UK GDP normally overestimated?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 08:43:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
in which case they'll really be hoping to avoid the extra .3%

Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:38:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Eurozone crisis keeps German business confidence falling | Business News | DW.DE | 25.07.2012

The mood in German businesses has dropped for the third month in a row as companies grow increasingly pessimistic about the eurozone debt crisis. But German consumers appear to ignore the dire signs.

The German Business Climate Index (BCI) dropped to 103.3 points in July, from 105.2 points in the previous month, the Ifo economic institute said Wednesday.

The fall in the institute's closely watched business sentiment barometer was steeper than analysts had expected. They predicted a drop to 104.5 points in a poll made by Dow Jones Newswires.

"The euro crisis is having an increasingly negative impact on the German economy," said Ifo President Hans-Werner Sinn, as he explained the third consecutive monthly drop of the index.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:08:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Euro Exit Risk Prompts JPMorgan to Set Up Contingency Plans - Bloomberg
Euro Exit Risk Prompts JPMorgan to Set Up Contingency Plans By Anchalee Worrachate - 2012-07-25T15:14:25Z

JPMorgan Chase & Co. has set up a contingency plan allowing it to resume trading the bonds of any nation exiting the euro area to avoid disruption to its clients.

The largest U.S. bank by assets said while a break-up of the 17-nation currency zone was not its central view, the possibility has convinced it to establish procedures to limit any disruption to its bond-trading activities. The implied probability of a country leaving the monetary union is 59 percent for next year, and 66 percent by the end of 2014, based on bets at Intrade.com. Spain hasn't ruled out quitting the euro, El Confidencial reported this week.

"We've been doing some contingency work to ensure that we have a robust system and ability to absorb shocks if on a Sunday night a sovereign decides to leave the euro," Carl Norrey, head of European rates securities at JPMorgan in London, said in interview on July 23. "The probability of a country exiting the euro is no longer zero."

Financial turmoil in the euro area deepened this week as the Spanish region of Valencia said it will need aid from the central government, and Moody's Investors Service put a negative outlook on the Aaa ratings of Germany, the Netherlands and Luxembourg, saying they may need to spend more bailing out other member nations.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:37:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
N.Y. Fed silent on Barclays' admission of rigging Libor - The Washington Post

Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner has said that he sounded the alarm four years ago to regulators about problems with the benchmark interest rate known as Libor.

But Geithner, who was then head of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, did not communicate in key meetings with top regulators that British bank Barclays had admitted to Fed staffers that it was rigging Libor, according to people familiar with the matter.

Instead, regulators at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Justice Department worked largely without the Fed's help to build a case against Barclays. That work has culminated in a massive scandal rocking the banking industry on both sides of the Atlantic.

As Geithner prepares to testify Wednesday morning on Capitol Hill, he returns to a familiar position as a lightning rod for critics on the left and the right who find fault in his work as a banking regulator before he joined the White House and as a bailout architect under President Obama.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:40:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 WORLD 


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:57:54 AM EST
Syria bolsters troops in battle for Aleppo - Middle East - Al Jazeera English

Activists say thousands of troops have been sent to Syria's second city, Aleppo, as clashes were reported in the city for the sixth consecutive day.

Fighting was reported in the central al-Jamaliya neighbourhood on Wednesday, close to the local headquarters of the ruling Baath party. In Kalasseh, in the south of the city, rebels set fire to a police station, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said.

The 16-month revolt against President Bashar al-Assad has in recent weeks been transformed from an armed uprising in remote provinces into a battle for control of the two main cities, Aleppo and the capital, Damascus, which have been the regime's main bases of support.

 

A spokesman for rebel Free Syrian Army said thousands of Syrian soldiers had been moved from the northwestern province of Idlib to fight in Aleppo.

"A large number of troops is being redeployed from Jabal al-Zawiyah to Aleppo, which is strategically more important for the regime than Idlib," Colonel Abdel Jabbar al-Oqaidi, the FSA's Military Council spokesman in the city told AFP.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:37:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Violent clashes spread in India's Assam - Asia - Al Jazeera English

Violence is spreading in northeast Assam state after nine more people were killed in overnight clashes between ethnic groups in India's northeast, bringing the death toll to 36 with about 170,000 villagers displaced by the unrest, officials say.

"The situation is tense and we are getting additional paramilitary troopers," Assam police chief JN Choudhury told reporters on Wednesday.

Rioting between Bodo tribespeople and Muslim settlers has raged for days in a region near Bangladesh.

Indian security forces patrolled deserted streets on Wednesday, and were given orders to shoot on sight, officials said.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:38:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Billionaires May Win as Democrats Split Over Estate Tax - Bloomberg

Senate Democrats, who are united in support of higher income tax rates for millionaires and billionaires, are paralyzed by disagreements on how to tax the estates of the wealthiest Americans.

Lobbied by business owners and billionaires, Democrats including Mark Pryor of Arkansas and Mary Landrieu of Louisiana resisted a proposal from President Barack Obama to tax individual estates of more than $3.5 million -- roughly three in 1,000 -- at a top rate of 45 percent. The split among Democrats, who control the Senate, will give Republicans more influence on the issue after the Nov. 6 election.

"It's something that's really divided and perplexed our caucus about what's the fair way to move forward," said Landrieu, who supports repealing the estate tax and wants to reach a compromise with Republicans. "We don't have the votes to do anything, really, with it."

As a result, when the Senate votes as scheduled at 2:15 p.m. in Washington today on a bill to extend income tax cuts that expire Dec. 31, the proposal will be silent on the estate tax. Democratic leaders in the Senate sidestepped the estate tax to focus on an issue on which almost all of them agree: Obama's plan to let income tax cuts expire for the top 2 percent.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:38:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
WASHINGTON--With polls this week showing the race between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney tightening even further, a growing number of political experts have declared this year's election will almost certainly be decided by a small handful of swing corporations.


"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne
by maracatu on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 06:41:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... will almost certainly be decided by a small handful of swing corporations.

A dose of reality.

I have a t-shirt with that on it. And whatever you do, DON'T BLINK!

by THE Twank (yatta blah blah @ blah.com) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 07:08:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"It's something that's really divided and perplexed our caucus about what's the fair way to move forward," said Landrieu, who supports repealing the estate tax and wants to reach a compromise with Republicans. "We don't have the votes to do anything, really, with it."

The reason there aren't the votes is cos there are far too many quisling democrats willing to accommodate every republican heart's desire.

Stand up for something and people might believe in you; stand for nothing and they'll find somebody who will

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:07:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Doubts about death toll from Beijing-area rain fuel new suspicions about China's leaders | McClatchy

FANGSHAN, China -- It took just one glance at a jumble of cars mired in the brown waters covering the G4 expressway late on Monday afternoon to cast doubt on Chinese government estimates that only 37 had died in flash flooding over the weekend.

A casual count of one patch of road came up with 33 vehicles - buses and taxis, and cars thrown on top of each other and over highway railings. Most passengers may have escaped, but many in the crowd of onlookers voiced something between quiet skepticism and open derision that the official numbers were true.

"They must hide this," said one old man who was hustled away from a perch overlooking the scene by uniformed police yelling that photography in the area needed prior consent. With plainclothes security milling around the area, he and other onlookers didn't give their names.

The man said that he'd already heard how many were killed in Fangshan, a district roughly 20 miles southwest of downtown Beijing, after heavy rains on Saturday night: "More than 300."

Not long ago, such grumbling would have stayed among locals, something to mull over with family at the dinner table. With an estimated 538 million Internet users in China today, however, the Chinese Communist Party is increasingly finding its propaganda apparatuses, designed for top-down messaging, tested by a very public flurry of fact and rumor alike.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:44:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC News - Aurora shooting: Colorado gun sales up after cinema killings

The number of people seeking to buy guns in Colorado has soared since last week's mass shooting in the US state's town of Aurora, say law officials.

In the three days after the shooting, applications for the background checks needed to buy a gun legally were up 43% on the previous week.

The shooting at a cinema showing the new Batman movie left 12 people dead and 58 injured - 20 remain in hospital.

The suspected gunman appeared in court for the first time on Monday.

James Holmes, 24, is accused of throwing two canisters of gas into a busy midnight showing of the Batman film The Dark Knight Rises, before firing at random into the crowd.

That Batman fella must be one scary guy.

The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman

by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:52:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
"One ticket to 'Batman', ignore the two fear gas canisters, the body armour and the semi automatic please. "
"No problem. Love the outfit! Popcorn?"


"It's very hard to see what is kept invisible" Roseanne Barr
by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:40:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
MIAMI -- Cuban dissident Oswaldo Paya was buried Tuesday as police dragged off and allegedly beat at least 40 supporters who shouted "Freedom!" after his funeral mass, in a clash watched by a large and impassive crowd in Havana. Relatives and supporters voiced new allegations that Paya was killed in a car crash caused by another vehicle, but a Madrid newspaper reported the Spaniard at the wheel of the car carrying the dissident told police the accident was his fault.
More at The Cuban Triangle: Check HERE and HERE.

HAVANA, Cuba (ACN) -- The US Department of Homeland Security has announced the setting up of a drone squadron for surveillance activity over the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, ostensibly for the purpose of fighting drug trafficking. (...) According to the FAA plan, a 2,000-kilometer area will be covered by the drones, which includes The Bahamas, Hispaniola (Haiti and the Dominican Republic), Puerto Rico and other Caribbean islands.

Tim's El Salvador Blog: It was a scene you don't often see in El Salvador.   All the top leaders of the country's political parties coming together in one room.  From the ex-president from ARENA Alfredo Cristiani to Medardo Gonzalez, of the FMLN,  President Mauricio Funes had summoned them all to the Presidential House today  to attempt to resolve El Salvador's constitutional crisis.  (See a gallery of Funes shaking hands with all the various party leaders here).
Funes announces accord on process of dialogue over a resolution of constitutional impasse.  More CONTEXT.

WASHINGTON, Jul 24 2012 (IPS) - Two months after a free-trade agreement between the United States and Colombia went into effect, workers and activists are warning that U.S.-stipulated labour reforms have not been fully implemented and have yet to result in promised improvements in the lives of workers.

Miami Herald, ASUNCION, Paraguay -- Paraguay's former President Fernando Lugo must testify in an investigation over alleged Venezuelan meddling during his impeachment, prosecutors said Tuesday.


"Beware of the man who does not talk, and the dog that does not bark." Cheyenne
by maracatu on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 07:22:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]
JTA: Romney backs moment of silence for Munich 11in 2012 (but what about 2002?)
Last week the Obama administration announced its support for a moment of silence at the London Olympics to commemorate the 40th anniversary of the massacre of 11 Israeli Olympians at the 1972 Olympics.

This week the Romney campaign followed suit.

At first glance, this would seem to be an easy political score for both candidates. But unfortunately for Romney, there was that stint running the Salt Lake City Olympics in 2002. And at least one Obama supporter is slamming the GOP candidate for not taking a stand on the issue back then:

Deborah Lipstadt, a prominent Holocaust historian, faulted Romney for not expressing support for such a moment in 2002, when his position directing the Winter Olympics would have weighed heavily with the International Olympic Committee.
by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:07:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Jerusalem's iconic windmill to resume its daily grind | Ha'aretz
The historic windmill in Jerusalem is expected to resume grinding wheat with wind energy in about two weeks time, 119 years after it stopped operating.

[...]

Just to be on the safe side, a small electric motor was installed as well, despite the protests of the Dutch engineer who assembled the mill, and who had faith in the power of the Jerusalem wind to spin the blades.

by gk (g k quattro due due sette "at" gmail.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 04:38:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
 LIVING OFF THE PLANET 
 Environment, Energy, Agriculture, Food 


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:58:23 AM EST
Greenland ice sheet melted at unprecedented rate during July | Environment | guardian.co.uk

The Greenland ice sheet melted at a faster rate this month than at any other time in recorded history, with virtually the entire ice sheet showing signs of thaw.

The rapid melting over just four days was captured by three satellites. It has stunned and alarmed scientists, and deepened fears about the pace and future consequences of climate change.

In a statement posted on Nasa's website on Tuesday, scientists admitted the satellite data was so striking they thought at first there had to be a mistake.

"This was so extraordinary that at first I questioned the result: was this real or was it due to a data error?" Son Nghiem of Nasa's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena said in the release.

He consulted with several colleagues, who confirmed his findings. Dorothy Hall, who studies the surface temperature of Greenland at Nasa's space flight centre in Greenbelt, Maryland, confirmed that the area experienced unusually high temperatures in mid-July, and that there was widespread melting over the surface of the ice sheet.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:05:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
move along, nothing to see here. We can't do anything, it might impact GDP by a couple of per cent. Some rich guys might be inconvenienced.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:11:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Mayor's sustainable Olympic taxis driven on a 130-mile trip to fill up in Swindon - Transport - News - Evening Standard

Five low emission hydrogen-fuelled Olympic taxis hailed by Boris Johnson as the future of sustainable motoring are being driven by car transporter on a 130-mile round trip every day to be filled up in Swindon.

The Clarity cars have been used to shuttle VIPs and guests of the Mayor between Games venues. But they have been piggybacking on the diesel-fuelled HGV to the nearest hydrogen filling station owned by Honda at its Wiltshire headquarters on the M4.

The taxis' owners were left without a fuel source when the hydrogen station serving buses at the Lea Interchange near the Olympic Park was closed for safety and security reasons during the Games. The closure also halted a fleet of hydrogen buses that operates along the South Bank.



Any idiot can face a crisis - it's day to day living that wears you out.
by ceebs (ceebs (at) eurotrib (dot) com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:40:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
arf !!

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 10:35:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
She said, doggedly.


Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 12:35:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]
New Baltic bacteria linked to ocean warming | Sci-Tech | DW.DE | 25.07.2012

Vibrio bacteria are usually found in warm waters, but new research has found them in the cold Baltic Sea as a result of rising temperatures. Controlling the spread will be hard.

A team of scientists from Britain, Finland, Spain and the United States says it has the first hard evidence to link rising ocean temperatures in Northern Europe with the emergence of various strains of Vibrio bacteria.

Vibrio bacteria is normally found in warm, tropical marine environments but has been detected in the usually cold Baltic Sea.

It belongs to a group of bacteria which - depending on the strain - can cause gastroenteritis or cholera in humans if raw or undercooked shellfish are consumed, or through exposure to contaminated seawater.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:05:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]
U.S. Sees Food Prices Rising From Severe Drought - NYTimes.com

WASHINGTON -- The worst drought in the United States in nearly a half-century is expected to drive up the price of milk, beef and pork next year, the government said Wednesday, as consumers bear some of the brunt of the sweltering heat that is driving up the cost of feed corn.

Poultry prices are expected to rise more immediately, the government said in a report. It estimated that consumer price indexes for chicken and turkey would rise 3.5 percent to 4.5 percent later this year.

"The poultry category is the smallest animal category, and we expect to see more of an effect this year because they grow the fastest and will be first to be impacted by higher feed prices," said Richard Volpe, an economist with the Department of Agriculture.

Figures released Wednesday by the department showed the largest percentage increase next year in its price indexes is expected for beef, a rise of 4 percent to 5 percent. The price of dairy products will increase 3.5 percent to 4.5 percent and eggs by 3 percent to 4 percent. Pork is expected to rise 2.5 percent to 3.5 percent.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:40:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The world is closer to a food crisis than most people realise | Lester R. Brown | Environment | guardian.co.uk

Although the world was hoping for a good US harvest to replenish dangerously low grain stocks, this is no longer on the cards. World carryover stocks of grain will fall further at the end of this crop year, making the food situation even more precarious. Food prices, already elevated, will follow the price of corn upward, quite possibly to record highs.

Not only is the current food situation deteriorating, but so is the global food system itself. We saw early signs of the unraveling in 2008 following an abrupt doubling of world grain prices. As world food prices climbed, exporting countries began restricting grain exports to keep their domestic food prices down. In response, governments of importing countries panicked. Some of them turned to buying or leasing land in other countries on which to produce food for themselves.

Welcome to the new geopolitics of food scarcity. As food supplies tighten, we are moving into a new food era, one in which it is every country for itself.

The world is in serious trouble on the food front. But there is little evidence that political leaders have yet grasped the magnitude of what is happening. The progress in reducing hunger in recent decades has been reversed. Unless we move quickly to adopt new population, energy, and water policies, the goal of eradicating hunger will remain just that.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 01:01:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
US produces 20% of global corn (zea mays) but provides 50% of the product traded globally.  Thus, this is bad news for over one-half of the world's population.  Further, when corn prices reach certain price points feedlot and other CAFOs switch to wheat, driving that price up as well.

Prognosis: civil and political unrest in much of the developing world due to rising food prices.
 

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

by ATinNM on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 05:46:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
But doesn't most corn go to make corn syrup which, whilst it's extensively used in processed food as a cheap sweetener, is nutritionally useless ?

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:13:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
No. No exact figures on hand, but about a third of US corn goes to making ethanol; the majority of the rest goes into cattle feed.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:49:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Rise in price has forced ethanol plants to shut down.

Interestingly, that means the bad harvest will raise food and gas (petrol) prices.


Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

by ATinNM on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 12:24:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
ATinNM:

Prognosis: civil and political unrest in much of the developing world due to rising food prices.

Like the Arab Spring? I think we have discussed the connection with rising food prices from money seeking safe havens.

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

by A swedish kind of death on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:14:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No, no, you don't understand: it's about the United States; it's always about the United States, if harvest is poor in the US, the world will starve, ergo more subsidies for big agro are urgently needed.

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.
by Bernard on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:30:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Europe Heat Wave Wilting Corn Adds to U.S. Drought: Commodities

Temperatures in a band running from eastern Italy across the Black Sea region into Ukraine reached 35 degrees Celsius (95 degrees Fahrenheit) or more this month, about 5 degrees above normal, U.S. government data show. Corn, now in the pollination phase that creates kernels, risks damage above 32 degrees, said Cedric Weber, the head of market analysis at Bourges, France- based Offre et Demande Agricole, which advises farmers on sales.

The heat wave in Europe is adding to concern about global food supplies as U.S. farmers face the worst drought since 1956, India delays sowing because of a late monsoon and Australian crops endure below-average rainfall. Soybeans and corn rose to all-time highs yesterday and wheat surged 46 percent since June 1. The United Nations says food prices will probably rebound after falling the most in three years in the second quarter.

Russian Wheat Crop Seen Falling to 45 Million Tons This Year

Russia, the world's third biggest wheat exporter, forecast a 20 percent year-on-year drop in its harvest to 45 million metric tons, as prices climb on drought in the country.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture sees Russia's wheat exports at 12 million tons for the current season, down from 21.3 million tons in the year-ago period.

Need I continue?

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere

by ATinNM on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:58:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
You don't; because that's not what my comment was aiming at: I was referring to the very US-centric way this issue is reported in the US media, and/or by the agro-biz: it has come to a point where they seem to truly believe that when US farmers face a bad harvest, the world at large will simply starve, and I personally suspect this is more for lobbying and subsidies seeking than simple self-centric culture. As you clearly show, this is in no way a US only situation, far from it.

(BTW, the "heat wave" of 30°C+ temperatures in the Bourges, France, area is over as from tonight, according to the weather forecast, at least in the Northern half of the country).

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.

by Bernard on Fri Jul 27th, 2012 at 09:11:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Misunderstood your post.

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Fri Jul 27th, 2012 at 02:18:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No, I should have made myself more clear :)

Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way. Americans think a hundred years is a long time.
by Bernard on Fri Jul 27th, 2012 at 02:22:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Depends on how high prices rise.  As a guess we'll be seeing a sharp rise in food insecurity (as it's called,) hunger, and starvation in Africa, Southeast Asia, Latin, India, Middle East, South America, and - perhaps - China with the social, political, & etc. conflicts of each locale dependent on where the inhabitants end-up on that scale.  

Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 03:50:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
No, not like the Arab spring. Like the nastiness that comes when people understand that a revolution, even though it was justified, cannot solve a problem that threatens them personally.
by oliver on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 06:38:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 LIVING ON THE PLANET 
 Society, Culture, History, Information 


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:58:38 AM EST
Bayreuth's 'silenced voices' speak on anti-Semitism | Music | DW.DE | 25.07.2012

An exhibition entitled "Silenced Voices" during the Bayreuth Festival's current season explores a dark chapter in German history. Nazis used the music festival as a means of spreading anti-Semitic propaganda.

The plaster is crumbling off part of the façade of Bayreuth's opera house. Flower beds adorn the park in front of the building, which is beleaguered by curious onlookers as the Bayreuth Festival kicks off on July 25. Shrubs encircle freshly mown lawns. Wind blows through the leaves of the stately trees. A few visitors stroll across the manicured grounds.

It almost feels like it does every summer up on Bayreuth's fabled Green Hill - except for the 40 or so gray panels standing in the park near the sunken-eyed bronze bust of Richard Wagner. The bust itself was created by one of the Nazis' preeminent artists, Arno Breker.

Franz Allers was one of the first Jews to be banned from the Wuppertal Theater

From a distance, the panels resemble modern-day gravestones and, actually, that impression is not far off the mark. Black-and-white pictures and texts adhere to the panels, displaying brief biographies of long-passed musicians who once participated in the Bayreuth Festival, but who were persecuted due to their Jewish heritage.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:37:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Gliese 581g Tops List of 5 Potentially Habitable Exoplanets: Scientific American

The controversial exoplanet Gliese 581g is the best candidate to host life beyond our own solar system, according to a new ranking of potentially habitable alien worlds.

Gliese 581g shot to the top of the list -- which was published Thursday (July 19) by researchers at the University of Puerto Rico at Arecibo's Planetary Habitability Laboratory (PHL) -- after a new study marshaled support for its long-debated existence.

The exoplanet was discovered in September 2010, but other astronomers began casting doubt on its existence just weeks later. Now Gliese 581g's discoverers have rebutted their critics' charges in a new paper, and have done so effectively enough to get the PHL onboard.

Here's a brief rundown of the PHL's top five habitable alien planets



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:49:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Social deprivation has a measurable effect on brain growth

ScienceDaily (July 23, 2012) -- Severe psychological and physical neglect produces measurable changes in children's brains, finds a study led by Boston Children's Hospital. But the study also suggests that positive interventions can partially reverse these changes.

Researchers led by Margaret Sheridan, PhD, and Charles Nelson, PhD, of the Labs of Cognitive Neuroscience at Boston Children's Hospital, analyzed brain MRI scans from Romanian children in the ongoing Bucharest Early Intervention Project (BEIP), which has transferred some children reared in orphanages into quality foster care homes.

Their findings, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (Early Edition, online the week of July 23), add to earlier studies by Nelson and colleagues showing cognitive impairment in institutionalized children, but also showing improvements when children are placed in good foster homes.

"Increasingly we are finding evidence that exposure to childhood adversity has a negative effect on brain development," says Sheridan. "The implications are wide ranging, not just for institutionalized children but also for children exposed to abuse, abandonment, violence during war, extreme poverty and other adversities."



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:49:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Who Could Have Predicted?


Ever since I learnt about confirmation bias I've started seeing it everywhere
by ATinNM on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 05:47:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Can Compact Fluorescent Lightbulbs Damage Skin?: Scientific American

The curlicue compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs) oft touted as an Earth-friendly alternative to standard incandescent bulbs may cause skin damage, according to a new study by researchers at Stony Brook University.

The bulbs are already known to pose hazards from using mercury, a toxic element, though in very small quantities, as lighting manufacturers are quick to point out. Regulations in parts of the United States and in the European Union limit mercury to 3.5 milligrams per bulb, with the limit dropping to 2.5 mg next year.

Now researchers have found that ultraviolet radiation seeping through CFLs may damage skin cells. Miriam Rafailovich, a professor of materials science and engineering at Stony Brook, led the research after reading an article in an Israeli newspaper that reported a spike in skin cancer on a communal farm when residents switched to fluorescent bulbs.

"In the past two years some disturbing reports have surfaced mostly in the European Union literature, which indicate that exposure to CFL bulbs might be responsible for exacerbating certain skin conditions, such as photodermatoses and skin cancer in humans," says the paper, published last month in the journal Photochemistry and Photobiology.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:49:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Gorillas Seen Destroying Poachers' Snares In Rwanda

Poachers' snares pose one of the biggest threats to mountain gorilla populations according to campaigners - and it seems that the gorillas themselves have worked this out, because they've been observed dismantling traps.

Field staff of the Dian Fossey Gorilla Fund in Rwanda report that on Monday they saw several young gorillas destroying snares - which maim and often kill gorillas - with their bare hands.

"We knew that gorillas do this but all of the reported cases in the past were carried out by adult gorillas, mostly silverbacks," said Veronica Vecellio, gorilla program coordinator at the Karisoke Research Center.

"Today, two juveniles and one blackback worked together to deactivate two snares and how they did it demonstrated an impressive cognitive skill."



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 01:02:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How Autism is Changing the World for Everybody

There's not much doubt that autism, along with Asperger Syndrome, is finally becoming accepted as a normal part of the human fabric. Even if some people still see autism as a condition that needs to be "treated," it's increasingly obvious that people on the autism spectrum are finding ways to succeed in our neurotypical-based society.

Not only that, but autistic people are changing the nature of our society as well -- in many ways, for the better.

Modern culture is clearly being defined and influenced by our willingness to celebrate and learn from those who think and act differently -- a clear sign that tolerance, accommodation, and understanding benefits all of us.

But not only that, the rise of autistic culture shows how important it is to have alternative psychological modalities as a part of the cultural fabric. In an age when economic globalization and other factors threaten to homogenize human culture, it's good to know that different minds can still give rise to new ideas.



Now where are we going and what's with the handbasket?
by budr on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 01:37:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Make. It. Stop.

In the past no people who would have been diagnosed with autism or Aspergers syndrome were able to make a contribution. Right?

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:07:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think it's more like they wouldn't have been allowed to make a contribution, because they were seen as abnormal/aberrant.  Some might have made real contributions to our society and our culture if we could have stopped seeing them as impaired and just seen them as different.  As we are all different:

"Fringe" Night of Desirable Objects (TV episode 2009) - IMDb

Dr. Walter Bishop: We're all mutants. What's more remarkable is how many of us appear to be normal.


Now where are we going and what's with the handbasket?
by budr on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:19:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think you may need to review your intellectual history of the world again.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:30:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think you're right they wouldn't have been allowed had they been diagnosed. But they weren't so they could.

Any of a number of historical figures fitting under the 'absent-minded/eccentric genius' might fit the description of high-functioning autism or asperger's.

If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 02:35:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Exactly.  There is no bright line anywhere between the eccentric uncle beloved in spite of, or maybe because of, his eccentricities, and the guy at work who says the damnedest things sometimes but has the most remarkable knack for troubleshooting the hard problems, to the troubled teenager struggling to deal with the complexities of adolescent relationships, to the poor soul who is truly impaired and truly needs help.  Where to draw that line seems to be mostly in the eye of the beholder.  Yet if someone ever gets cast on the wrong side of the line, whatever contributions they might make are all too often overlooked or misunderstood because too many of us see only the brand, and not the human being behind the brand.


Now where are we going and what's with the handbasket?
by budr on Fri Jul 27th, 2012 at 09:04:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
 PEOPLE AND KLATSCH 


The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 11:58:51 AM EST

NK unveils Kim Jong-un 'mystery' marriage - Asia-Pacific - Al Jazeera English

North Korea has said its new leader is married, announcing the union for the first time in routine state TV report.

The bulletin, which aired on Wednesday evening, ended weeks of speculation about a woman who accompanied Kim Jung-un to recent public events.

Kim toured an amusement park with his "wife, comrade Ri Sol-ju'' on Tuesday, while a crowd cheered for the leader, the speaker said without giving any more details about Ri, including how long they had been married.

Seven months after inheriting the country from his father, Kim Jong-il, the 20-something leader has been shown in the media several times with the young woman, including at a concert where Mickey Mouse and other Disney characters appeared and at tours of various North Korean sites.

While the woman has no been identified until now, media and analysts in South Korea were quick to guess that she was his wife.



The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt ät gmail dotcom) on Wed Jul 25th, 2012 at 12:42:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
@faisalislam
Boris: "let's hear it for the financial services sector".... Muted applause from the delegates of the Olympic trade summit


If you are not convinced, try it on someone who has not been entirely debauched by economics. — Piero Sraffa
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jul 26th, 2012 at 09:09:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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