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The next disruptive technology?

by Colman Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 07:57:27 AM EST

We're still working our way through the spread of ubiquitous hand-held communicators and computers (the marketing idiots call them smartphones). Soon, almost everyone, globally, will have access to one. We can't foresee the effects that that is going to have.

We're already bored, asking "what's next". What's the next "big thing"? Here's one possibility: 3-D printers.

Constructed of laser-cut plywood, with their internal workings on full display, previous generations of MakerBots were for tinkerers who were as interested in the machines themselves as they were in what they could make. Like the Homebrew Computer Club, which helped hatch the Apple II in 1977, MakerBot was part of what amounted to a Homebrew Printer Club, a global movement of hobbyists taking an existing industrial technology and trying to bring it within reach of everyone. Nearly 13,000 have been sold since MakerBot was founded in early 2009.

And as with the early personal computers, the enabling technology emerged before people figured out what to use it for. All you could do with those early PCs was program them; only later did spreadsheets, word processing, and videogames emerge (not to mention email and the World Wide Web). Similarly, for many owners of the early 3-D printers, simply experimenting with the devices themselves was reason enough to get one.

As the printers got more reliable, though, attention shifted from the machines to the designs they could print. At my house, the killer app for our MakerBots has been toys: dollhouse furniture, board game pieces, models. Print, paint, play. Free design libraries like MakerBot’s own Thingiverse and equivalents from Tinkercad and Autodesk mean that there are premade CAD files available to do just about anything you can imagine. It’s simply a matter of downloading them, modifying them if necessary, and sending them to the MakerBot to be printed.

It's still very early days.


Display:
Watching patent and copyright law catch  up should be a bundle of laughs.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 08:00:52 AM EST


Von überall könnte das Volk, Urbrut alles Undemokratischen, Zelle des Terrors, über die gewählten Hüter von Wachstum und Wohlstand® kommen. - flatter
by generic on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 08:45:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]
As soon as the baby boomers are replaced with the new generation of post-pirate kids, they'll look around and say "what the heck are all those lawyers bringing to the party, anyway???" and nuke the whole "intellectual property" industry.

I hope.

by asdf on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 10:15:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
They're bringing in a great deal of colonial tribute.

- Jake

If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 10:17:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Freaks me out. I just finished reading The Diamond Age by Neal Stephenson (1995). In his version, nanotech "matter compilers" can manufacture anything you need, including food, from standard models or your custom design.

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II
by eurogreen on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 09:43:27 AM EST
Nanotech sounds like a 'coming in 50 years' technology to me, at least in that sort of application.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 09:44:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Yeah, it is more for sunblock.

And I worry if it is tested enough for that.

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

by A swedish kind of death on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 09:46:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, I guess we'll have some idea about 20 years after we've been using it. Judging by how it's gone with GMOs.

"Look, it's perfectly normal nanotech sunblock. It's exactly the same as ordinary sunblock. Except it's better. For us, the makers. For your body? Who cares?"

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 09:59:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]


If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.
by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 10:12:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The entry level Replicator 2 uses an ecofriendly bioplastic called PLA (polylactic acid), which can be made from cornstarch.
And if that's made from roundup-treated GMO corn, it gives you cancer?

I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 10:23:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]


If you only spend 20 minutes of the rest of your life on economics, go spend them here.
by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 10:28:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's also compostable, and as Pettis says, it "smells like waffles" when it prints.
Therefore, not suitable for under-3s.

I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 10:30:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It smells like boiled cabbage when it's finished.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 11:11:19 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What does Moore's law look like for 3D printers, in terms of price, speed, size, etc?

I distribute. You re-distribute. He gives your hard-earned money to lazy scroungers. -- JakeS
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 09:50:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Good question. Speed, within reason, probably isn't terribly important. Material complexity probably is, as is complexity of the object being printed.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 09:54:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
My question is, how much does the ink cost?

The New MakerBot Replicator Might Just Change Your World | Wired Design | Wired.com

The entry level Replicator 2 uses an ecofriendly bioplastic called PLA (polylactic acid), which can be made from cornstarch. Unlike other materials, PLA doesn't shrink very much when it cools, and overall it requires the machine to be less fine-tuned. It's also compostable, and as Pettis says, it "smells like waffles" when it prints. MakerBot's PLA will be available on its website for as little as $48 per kilogram

Hmm. Make your toy soldiers out of PLA...

It is rightly acknowledged that people of faith have no monopoly of virtue - Queen Elizabeth II

by eurogreen on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 10:02:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The computer controlled machine tool industry has revolutionized the bicycle and motorcycle industries. It used to be that you would save and save so you could afford the latest Campagnolo parts, but now you go to the local bike shop and they have hundreds of little custom parts with every possible combination of shapes, colors, functions, etc. The whole custom chopper (motorocycle) industry is built on that model as well.

The hot rod business has that to a degree (suspension parts in particular), but cars get complicated with lots of sheet metal and plastic and electronics. It's going to be a while before you can put together a custom car as easily as you can bolt together a bike.

Personally, I think housing is where the next revolution will come. The way we do it now is completely retarded. Either we put up massive anonymous, ugly apartment buildings, or chintzy condominiums, or crummy detached houses, or low-end trailer houses. There should be a huge opportunity for a housing concept that offers quality instead of quantity, good energy consumption characteristics, attractive design, etc., etc.

by asdf on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 10:12:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Here in Sweden, Young Pirate usually brings on along to all sorts of things. "Here is the future, would you ban it?"

Heard that some manufacturers are starting to freak out.

A vote for PES is a vote for EPP! A vote for EPP is a vote for PES! Support the coalition, vote EPP-PES in 2009!

by A swedish kind of death on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 09:47:36 AM EST
Could take off and change "everything," or it could be another "DTP revolution."

Invest in plastics or whatever they are using now. If 3D printing becomes popular, that will be the new toner.


-----
sapere aude

by Number 6 on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 10:07:52 AM EST
This is right in line with the needs and desires of Just-In-Time materialists who have reduced all cultural values to slag and swag.
by Upstate NY on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 11:21:47 AM EST
Craft and time with the CAD isnt the same as other crafts?
by Zwackus on Sat Sep 22nd, 2012 at 03:55:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I would not put it in the same category as crafts. I think they are diametrically opposed, as one of about skill and mastery, while the other emphasizes product.

Take knitting or quilting, for instance. Surely, any old textile could give you the same kind of coverage. But with crafts, the love is in the labor.

by Upstate NY on Mon Oct 1st, 2012 at 04:43:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Shapeways have been running for a few years now.

Printing anything other than starch is still pretty damn expensive.

But the designs are getting more and more intricate, and certainly far beyond what's possible with hand carving or laser cutting.

Printing stuff at home probably isn't going to interest many people. (When was the last time you needed something printable for an uncontrived reason?)

But micro-scale industrial printing is a whole lot more interesting and potentially useful.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 01:18:45 PM EST
As a board gamer and designer, I can imagine getting some use out out of this, or at least occasional use, along the line of a photo print store.
by Zwackus on Sat Sep 22nd, 2012 at 03:37:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
When I graduated from college, my uncle had just one word for me.

Plastic

by greatferm (greatferm-at-email.com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 04:52:49 PM EST
LOL
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 05:00:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Fri Sep 21st, 2012 at 05:02:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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