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by Colman Tue Apr 18th, 2017 at 10:28:43 AM EST
So May has called a snap election in the UK for June 8th. As if the situation wasn't unstable enough.
I think this is all about internal Tory party politics. She talks about wanting to get all her brexit legislation through, yet she has a working majority of 20.
So, this means that she fears a sufficient minority of Tories will not support some of all of the brexit negotiating positions she wishes to adopt.
Also, as somebody noted, this is a rather extreme way of avoiding the investigations into electoral fraud from the 2015 GE, of which there are an embarrasingly large number. keep to the Fen Causeway
The tories have to win big. They have a colossal lead in the polls; anything less than a 100 majority will, perversely, be seen as a defeat.
The Lib Dems will win big. They should at least recover back to the 50 they accumulated under NuLab. They are the only consistently pro-Remain party in England and will campaign hard in areas that were remain.
The SNP have nowhere to go really, they have nearly every seat. It's unlikely there will be any substantive change in representation in Scotland.
Labour. Oh dear. Anything could happen. It is entirely possible they could be destroyed electorally as the LibDems were last time. It is also possible (although less so), if they campaign effectvely against austerity, the NHS, pensions and benefits (and effectively is the key word), that they might eat into the Tory majority.
Theirs is the wild card.
Given my recent form I am reluctant but here's my view of what will happen;-
Tories will gain 30 - 50 seats
LibDems will gain 50 - 100 seats.
Labour destroyed keep to the Fen Causeway
Like Asterix would say: these English are crazy! You might find me At The Edge Of Time.
Steely forward to the end or something. Schengen is toast!
Equally, the house of Lords is able to vote down any legislation that was not in the previous election manifesto. That was Cameron's manifesto which had different priorities to what she wants. Also, it meant that anything related to brexit could be defeated cos, apart from the referendum, Dave didn't mention brexit at all.
So she gets the mandate she wants and the backing she needs with the ability to ram it through the House of Lords keep to the Fen Causeway
I read Cameron's 10 Nov 15 "4 Goal EU reform" letter to the EU.
Tell us, how the message differs from May's "Brexit means Brexit" milquetoast A50 declaration. Is her expression of irreconcilable differences with EU confederation any different than those of Cameron? Diversity is the key to economic and political evolution.
The official line is that Theresa May called the general election on June 8 to win a stronger hand in Brexit negotiations. But some political observers have suggested she has an ulterior motive - burying the Tory election expenses scandal. The Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) is currently investigating claims that up to 20 Tory MPs broke constituency spending limits at the 2015 general election. The Tories are alleged to have committed "election fraud" by registering spending on a national bus tour, accommodation for activists and staffing costs, as national spending rather than local spending - meaning many candidates may have gone over spending limits. The CPS are due to give their verdict on the allegations at the end of next month or the beginning of June - a coincidence that hasn't escape Channel 4 journalist Michael Crick, Guardian's Rowena Mason and Sky's Jon Craig:
The Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) is currently investigating claims that up to 20 Tory MPs broke constituency spending limits at the 2015 general election.
The Tories are alleged to have committed "election fraud" by registering spending on a national bus tour, accommodation for activists and staffing costs, as national spending rather than local spending - meaning many candidates may have gone over spending limits.
The CPS are due to give their verdict on the allegations at the end of next month or the beginning of June - a coincidence that hasn't escape Channel 4 journalist Michael Crick, Guardian's Rowena Mason and Sky's Jon Craig:
This has been bubbling for some time. However, I've always been slightly skeptical that it would ever get to trial simply because that something the UK establishment allows. I doubt that will change now we are in a new election season. keep to the Fen Causeway
In just 15 per cent of 812 articles analysed, Mr Corbyn's views were present but challenged, and in only 11 per cent were they present without alteration.
Look at this election poster. Simple, strong, compelling message. Corbyn doesn't stand a chance. pic.twitter.com/FIcUgRaBtn— Pixelated Boat (@pixelatedboat) 18. April 2017
Look at this election poster. Simple, strong, compelling message. Corbyn doesn't stand a chance. pic.twitter.com/FIcUgRaBtn
@UKLabour NEC votes to deny members their right to choose candidates for #GE2017. The following has been sent to CLP secretaries. pic.twitter.com/2TtfGzNSnf— Max Shanly (@maxshanly) 19. April 2017
@UKLabour NEC votes to deny members their right to choose candidates for #GE2017. The following has been sent to CLP secretaries. pic.twitter.com/2TtfGzNSnf
@sjharte @caronmlindsay Apart from the KKK you don't find many racist christians. I'd argue the total oppositem— Tim Farron (@timfarron) 9. Juni 2013
@sjharte @caronmlindsay Apart from the KKK you don't find many racist christians. I'd argue the total oppositem
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