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by Laurent GUERBY
Baker & al paper "Are Protective Labor Market Institutions at the Root of Unemployment? A Critical Review of the Evidence" page 5 cites OECD unemployment rate by sex and age: for example for male 25-54 the unemployment rate is 4.6% in the USA and 7.4% in France. The paper then continue using the employment measure without any further questioning of what the unemployment number means.
If one digs a bit more into OECD data, for the exact same sex/age group male 25-54 the employment to population ratio is 86.3% in the USA and ... 86.7% in France. So the unemployment rate for this population is shown to be 60% HIGHER in France than the USA, yet MORE members of the population in question do have a job in France than in the USA (with similar part-time job rates). This puzzle was shown to Baker in january 2007 and inserted into french and english wikipedia - where it is still present after many edits. Raymond Torres, Head of the Employment Analysis and Policy Division, OECD, said to Le Monde (french newspaper) in may 2007 that "unemployment was a less and less relevant indicator to judge the job market efficiency". Yet, as shown in the Baker paper, even economists who challenge the orthodoxy do not mention this piece of data when doing cross country so called "unemployment" surveys. Read more... (36 comments, 339 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
Libération, a french daily newspaper, is putting the french housing bubble on its front page in this morning edition.
But there's something they won't tell you. Read more... (1 comment, 355 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
AFP just put out an interesting story: Médecine à Grenoble: l'enseignement par DVD, facteur d'égalité des chances. Translation: "Medecine teaching at Grenoble: teaching using DVD, a factor in equality of chances".
Read more... (13 comments, 270 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
Wikinews interview of Robert Cailliau (co-creator of the WWW) is full of interesting anecdotes.
Read more... (4 comments, 952 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
DeAnander Lazy Quote Diary: Mark Jones on Capitalist Entropy diary sparked a discussion on solar photovoltaic electricity production.
Let's compare published data for Jerome latest wind farm and a being built solar photovoltaic plant. From the diaries ~ whataboutbob Read more... (34 comments, 735 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
Migeru was surprised a few days ago when I said some authors asked public libraries to respect the author right to stop free lending of books.
As everyone knows lending books is the worst kind of theft and if it's not stopped authors will starve to death and civilization will end. On 31 march 2000, a petition organized by Jérôme Lindon (editor) requesting that public libraries respect the right of authors to stop free lending was signed by 288 authors and published in Liberation. List follows. Read more... (129 comments, 691 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
Current composition of the french national assembly is 362 UMP (right), 6 DVD (misc right), 142 PS (left), 29 UDF (center), 22 PCF (communist) and 3 Green (plus other misc or vacant seats).
35 millions voters are called to choose deputies for the 467 remaining seats after 45.5% of voters choosed the right against 39% for the left. 109 seats already went to the right with only 1 for the left. 933 candidates are competing. 2 left candidate are sure to be elected since they're alone after "desistements". Only one place has three candidate ("triangulaire").
Update [2007-6-17 14:5:11 by Jerome a Paris]:: First estimates suggest that the left will have 190-230 seats (vs 100-140 predicted) i.e. a lot more than expected (and more than they currently hold). Sarkozy has a majority to govern, but his aura of invincibility might be slightly breached. Update [2007-6-17 15:30:14 by Laurent GUERBY]: Alain Juppé (government number two) has lost at Bordeaux 49.07%-50.93%. He just said he'll send his resignation letter from government tomorrow morning. Update [2007-6-17 16:19:44 by Laurent GUERBY]: Latest CSA estimate 22h16:
314 UMP, 5 DVD, 2 MPF, 19 NC, 3 MoDem, 212 PS, 18 PCF, 4 Verts. Update [2007-6-18 2:2:52 by Laurent GUERBY]: Official Results:
Comments >> (117 comments) by Laurent GUERBY
A landslide victory is predicted for UMP (right, Nicolas Sarkozy party).
7640 candidates are seeking votes for 577 seats. Current composition of the french national assembly is 362 UMP (right), 6 DVD (misc right), 142 PS (left), 29 UDF (center), 22 PCF (communist) and 3 Green (plus other misc or vacant seats). Turnout is 49.28% at 17:00, was 50.51% in 2002, so lowest intermediate turnout in 20 years. From the diaries - afew Comments >> (30 comments) by Laurent GUERBY
Who pays more tax relative to revenue in the UK, first decile of income or last decile?
Read more... (7 comments, 166 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
From IPSOS poll just after the vote, voters aged 60-69 were 61% for Nicolas Sarkozy, 70+ were 68%, retired voters were 65%.
Nicolas Sarkozy won by +3.06%, it is thus clear that this advantage amongst the elder and retired vote is the source of the victory and by far. Retired voters represent about 30% of the voters (my estimate interpolated from 2004 data below). Share of retired voters will increase with time, what will be the consequence on future politics? From the diaries - whataboutbob Comments >> (78 comments) by Laurent GUERBY
Le Monde announces that Venezuela is leaving world bank and FMI.
No mention of the recent World Bank scandal. But the best part is the last sentence of Le Monde article:
Translation of the bold part: "(Venezuela) economy is paralyzed by a 12% inflation". Quality information from quality MSM? Let's check some blogs. From the diaries - whataboutbob Read more... (20 comments, 268 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY The KSR ruling is IMHO a common-sense law-and-economics analysis of the extraordinary bending of patent law by CAFC, USPTO and corrupt attorneys on the "non-obviousness" criteria. The KSR court ruling is unanimous and by far the most talked about. I'm saying "law-and-economics" because the court is citing "market forces" many times in its ruling, and remind everyone that a patent regime that is blocking progress is unconstitutionnal. The rulings: Linkfest and quotefest below. Read more... (52 comments, 1517 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
At 12h00, participation of 31.21% against 21.40% in 2002, best since 1981 (France Info, métropole).
At 17h00, participation of 73.87% against 58.5% in 2002 at that time, and 71.60% final number). Final participation number: 83.78% (still moving a bit source) promoted to the FP by tsp... check out the comments for lots more... Read more... (95 comments, 185 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
There was recently a trade agreement between the EU and the USA for air travel. Here is what I can read in the press:
Read more... (1 comment, 418 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
I can't resist to post a big chunk of this nice piece by perma-bear Nouriel Roubini:
Read more... (6 comments, 622 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
New Economist says big day for co-op fans:
From the diaries -- whataboutbob Read more... (27 comments, 281 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
An excellent post by Mark Thoma at Economist View which I'm sure is very close to ET'ers opinions:
From the diaries ~ whataboutbob Read more... (19 comments, 428 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
Last sunday I asked about where to find some documents related to the European Parliament.
I just got the response to my question adressed to Europe Direct. Read more... (2 comments, 814 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
What's this for?
Read more... (11 comments, 258 words in story) by Laurent GUERBY
A few monthes ago I asked various economists, including Bernard Salanié (see comments) why the administrations computing inflation didn't make their raw price data available since it would end conspiracy theories, endless debates about the magic "global" inflation number and provide quite useful data to taxpayers who all have different perspectives on inflation : yound, couple with or without children, old or retired face very different inflation, different regions face different prices level and inflation, etc...
The near unanimous answer (see the comments in the link above) was that data can't be released otherwise store owners would change their price behaviour (and that I didn't know anything about economics, etc... nothing unexpected). After a while, encouraged by Max Sawicki who told me honnestly not knowing the reason and that Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) people were nice people, I decided to fire a few emails. Read more... (16 comments, 595 words in story)
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