by igor vincha
Mon Sep 15th, 2008 at 01:06:53 PM EST
How did people behave until the day World War One was formally proclaimed? Life was as normal. Everyone went about doing their usual things, very few could anticipate what a global war meant. Even during the war very few people had a global perspective. Most of the little people were concerned only about their daily survival.
How did people behave before WW2 formally began? Now that is trickier question. The beginning of world-wide conflageration was envisaged only by Mr. Adolf Hitler and those close to him. He probaly foresaw many events after the anschluss of Austria, and perhaps that was the day WW2 started - from his priviledged perspective. As far as the others were concerned WW2 did not start even with the occupation of the Sudetenland or with the Italian attacks on Greece.
The world is slow to realize what is happening. It is only years later, when the winners write the history-in the manner in which they would like it to be perceived- that the ordinary guy realizes what was going on.
So it is today. We see the bank losses accruing, we see mortgage lenders going bust, we see the Northern Rock and the government's action, we see huge bank losses, we see huge increases in energy and food prices, we see the "bankrupcy" of Freddie Mac and Fannie May, the collapse of travel companies, we see the bankrupcy of Lehman and the buyout of Merryl, YET we do not see the big picture.
We do not see and do not want to see where all this is taking us. What is World War III going to look like. Is WW3 inevitable?
Let us suppose first that the world economic meltdown is possible without worldwide wars. How long shall each country be able to descend into poverty WITHOUT taking some sort of desparate action? Are human being capable of slow non-agressive suicide and slow death by hunger and cold?
Knowing human beings and their track records, isn't it more likely that some countries will decide to "protect" their own interests at the expense of those who do not have a tradition of "defending" their interests at the far flung corners of the world?
So, I predict that within one or two years, the world will be at war. You may think or hope that I am wrong, but try to think what will ordinary life look like in London or Paris, during the war. The main question for me is, which parts of the world will be worst affected?