The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
There are so many variables you do not control and probably trajectories diverge exponentially
So, I could argue that there is also a huge chance that global imbalances of debt or increases in the price of oil would produce a mild recession, or maybe a big recession. Or maybe not.
An maybe the US and China will solve their differences regarding the control of Asia, or maybe not.
I could go on and on with a lot of variables you can not control.
Two similar initial conditions can end up in very different places. I would personally bet for a succession of mild recessions and strong recoveries for the next years. Oil, and imbalances would drive the system to a periodic behavior. Recession reduces consumption, redistributes and forces improvement in energy technologies and this investment has easy returns. Growth ensues for some years since it is very easy to save energy at the beginning. Until new fluctuations of oil lead the production below the new base-line obtained, producing another mild depression. I think I can not prove it in any way whatsoever. I also think the same of your prediction. There is no way you can prove it.
I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact.
by gmoke - Jul 4
by Oui - Jul 3 1 comment
by Oui - Jun 30 25 comments
by IdiotSavant - Jun 24 16 comments
by Oui - Jun 25 50 comments
by IdiotSavant - Jun 16 16 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 15 14 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 10 15 comments
by Oui - Jul 4
by gmoke - Jul 4
by Oui - Jul 3
by Oui - Jul 31 comment
by gmoke - Jul 2
by Oui - Jun 3025 comments
by Oui - Jun 301 comment
by Oui - Jun 296 comments
by Oui - Jun 2735 comments
by Oui - Jun 2550 comments
by IdiotSavant - Jun 2416 comments
by Oui - Jun 2310 comments
by Oui - Jun 2313 comments
by gmoke - Jun 22
by Oui - Jun 20
by Oui - Jun 1916 comments
by asdf - Jun 184 comments
by Oui - Jun 184 comments
by IdiotSavant - Jun 1616 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Jun 1514 comments