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What is the likelyhood of this situation resulting in new elections?

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Oct 31st, 2005 at 03:27:17 PM EST
Of course, the current conflict within the SPD poses serious questions to the stability of a grand coalition. It does not even exist, and the head of the Social Democratic Party already has to resign. There is much talk about new election right now, but I do not see this happen in the near furture. I still see the rejection of Wasserhövel as a warning shot which has been turned into real warfare by Müntefering.

Even if Müntefering resigns, it would be suicidal for the SPD to opt for new elections. And Merkel might first try to make the best out of her suddenly enhanced bargaining position within the framework of a grand coalition.

by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Mon Oct 31st, 2005 at 03:44:56 PM EST
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So the SPD has to get its act together quickly, sounds to me...

"Once in awhile we get shown the light, in the strangest of places, if we look at it right" - Hunter/Garcia
by whataboutbob on Mon Oct 31st, 2005 at 03:54:19 PM EST
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The whole mess seems to be borne out of a misunderstanding. Müntefering did not say "I mean it" before, but he meant it and he thought the other party executives knew. But they did not. This is becoming clearer as more and more of their statements are published. They only wanted to fire a warning shot, but this warning shot turned out to be more like the "warning shots" by London police officers on Jean Charles de Menezes. The whole party is in a shock now. You can be sure that there were no contingency plans for this eventuality. If Müntefering does not draw back his resignation, it will be difficult to piece everything back together again quickly.

I am curious about Merkel's strategic reaction.

by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Mon Oct 31st, 2005 at 05:56:37 PM EST
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