It's difficult to tell how good their chances are or will be. But I can bet than in 2 years time their backing will be stronger than it is now. People have been talking about this party for some time, and many have been waiting for it. Degrowth, or décroissance, is no longer perceived as a chimera but as something that can actually be achieved. A lot of French ecologists are also disappointed in the Greens and want more radical decisions reached on the environment.

As of now, I am under the impression that they are planning to first participate in elections in 2007, which means parliamentary elections. In which case they will have far fewer chances than if they start at the municipal/regional level.