we're having an early cold snap that has heating oil prices dragging crude up.   The refinery shutdowns in March are also typical.  Mogas will be strong pre may as people will fear a summer shortage, but barring more refinery damage early in the summer, your $100 won't be seen in 2006.

I think you have 3-5 years to wait barring significant political upheaval in the Middle East (Iraq civil war, Saudi production bombed etc).