Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.

I would say that, given the current baseline trend, we're looking at 2007 at the earliest, IF THERE ARE NO MAJOR INCIDENTS.

However, given the increase in both frequency and magnitude of the Atlantics Hurricane (not a sports francise), I think it is certainly possible.

For that matter, terrorism in the North Sea, Saudi oil fields, any number of distribution pipelines, etc, could have a profoundly bad affect on oil.

So, what are the odds of an incident before late 2007?

Happy little moron, lucky little man. I wish I was a moron, my God, perhaps I am! -- Spike Milligan

by polecat on Mon Dec 12th, 2005 at 09:07:44 PM EST

Others have rated this comment as follows:


Occasional Series