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And again any disruption making oil reach 90$ would produce the first serious cut (a nd easy) oil consumption...after that....
So I will wait some years..
BY the way, I think it is time (or soon) to buy oil for the future if it reaches 40$.. I just do not know how to do it. Normal investments do not allow it.... this would be an interesting question for a diary.. how to buy oil and sell it within 10 years...
jerome ...this is your chance of making us all rich... please help us (and as Migeru would say I am dead serious cause I have some thousands of dollars waiting...)
A pleasure I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude
If you really want to invest in oil, you can get an account with some stock brokerages to trade on NYMEX("the Merc"). They may want you to prove you have enough trading experience to handle such volatile and risky instruments. Be advised that the margin requirements are not trivial.
If you want to trade the smallest increment, 1 lot of WTI, you are trading 1000 bbls. If you go well out the curve, the margin requirment of the NYMEX is $2500-3500 per lot. So you are putting up about 10% of the value of the oil underlying the contract. That kind of leverage has pretty sharp risk/reward teeth. As the trade moves against you, you have to put up more and more cash as margin; you have to put up more cash as the contract becomes prompt(more volatile) too. If you call it right you can make big % gains. A broker may have higher margins than the Merc requires. I've never tried as an individual so no direct experience.
There is a mini contract on the Merc but it's only half the size of the regular one. It cash settles so at least you can never be forced to play with "wet" oil although no respectable broker would ever let a neophyte get anywhere near expiry still holding a prompt contract. Actually, they'd probably force you to close the trade as it would be their ass on the line with the exchange when you couldn't perform.
There are some other things you can do.
have fun!
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