But make no mistake: Whatever noises of regret are made, the EU, including Schröder or his successor, will sigh in relief if Ankara absolves it of the need to turn over the membership carrot.

(from the diary)

Looks like the EU split is widening - constitution, budget, enlargement - lots of bad news the last few days.  As reported today by the Guardian:

Talks on Turkey's accession, a British priority for its presidency starting in three weeks' time, are due to start formally in October.
The French specifically said they were not seeking to stop those talks. But they are likely to find a ready ally in Germany.

"Poor" Turkey - not only do they have to come clean on the Armenian atrocities - that may not be enough, as they are but a little chip in the high-stakes game we are witnessing.