I certqinly see Turkey joining before Russia, although Turkey will not be a piece of cake. At least they know the general direction, they are making real efforts to go there (with occasional lapses), and Europe seems willing to consider it (if not all its population).

I did a fairly detailed post about the pros and cons of Turkey in Europe and I will post it once I get back home where I can find it.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes