Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Recent numbers (ARD), percent/mandates (including overhang):

SPD  34,2/222
CDU  35,2/224
GRE   8,1/50
FDP   9,9/62
LEF   8,6/54

FDP is below 10!!!

SPD lost some ground in comparison to the projections before. But that does not change the basic facts.

by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 05:15:01 PM EST
So that could make that seat that needs to be re-run in Saxony vital to determine who gets to be Kanzler in a grand coalition? That should be interesting...

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 05:20:54 PM EST
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Feels like German Elections Floridienne. I think that the result is horrifying.
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 05:31:37 PM EST
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as far as I know, there are no voting machines in Dresden. Thank god.
by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 05:36:21 PM EST
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yes, but how much will those voters get pressured? I am just worried.
by mimi on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 05:42:40 PM EST
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District 160 (Dresden) will vote on October 2.

And, according to the electoral-math-pundits, it could cause a maximum change of 3 seats between SPD and CDU.

by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 05:32:54 PM EST
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I'm more and more confident that the SPD will come up tops tonight, even without that final seat in Dresden. We'll see. The thing is, most of the districts that are still counting are going for the SPD, so their share can basically only grow from here on out. Alas, it won't be enough for a continuation of the red-green coalition. So if my prediction is borne out, Schroeder will be commissioned with forming a new government, but his only options are "traffic lights" (SPD-FDP-Greens) or "elephant wedding" (SPD-CDU), with the latter the far more likely scenario. Too bad for Joshka Fischer and the Greens :-( They really don't deserve this. Easily ninety percent of the old government's screw-ups were the SPD's fault, IMO.

If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)
by brainwave on Sun Sep 18th, 2005 at 05:34:01 PM EST
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