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Given the front-page post on the failure of pretty much all the polls in Germany to accurately predict the election results there, what can you tell us about the reliability of the source for these poll numbers.  Is it genuinely reasonable to believe that the figures reported here will resemble the actual vote tallies, or is there a real possibility that these numbers could be off by a similar amount (5-6%)?  It also seems notable that the margin between PO and PiS is 15% in one of the polls, but only 5% in the other (slightly later) poll.  Should observers be concerned that PiS might be peaking right as the election run-up enters its homestretch?
by The Maven on Wed Sep 21st, 2005 at 04:39:23 PM EST

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