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The latter. (And at the party member level, the hostility might be greater in the LP than the governing parties - the SPD and Green party leaders are on the other side from the LP within their own parties.)

As for the non-PR element, 2002 was an exception when it didn't play that much of the role - with the SPD's sweep in the East balancing the CDU/CSU's sweeps in the South. You probably recall Unionist complaints on election night that the non-PR aspect stole them the victory as largest party, complaints that proved premature with an end result showing SPD just slightly ahead on list votes. (The SPD's advantage was just 3 seats.)

This year however, (I think jandsm gave us a link I regrettably lost) projections show no SPD direct mandate sweep anywhere, but a CDU one all across the South and central West.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Sep 9th, 2005 at 03:06:23 AM EST
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maybe it was this link. Click on "Wahlkreisprognose" brings you to the direct mandate constituencies map. It has been assumed that overhang mandates will go in favour of CDU/CSU, and this is validated by the map. But: It is dated September 3! I'm courious about the impact of SPD's boost on the direct mandate forecast.
by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Fri Sep 9th, 2005 at 03:54:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah, that's it, thanks! So it was you, not jandsm.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Fri Sep 9th, 2005 at 06:06:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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