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Fascinating diary, thanks. Do you predict a close election?
by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Mon Jan 23rd, 2006 at 04:30:53 PM EST
Yes, but with low confidence. I can't close out an implosion of either side until April (and I have to say I see it more likely for the government side), nor a chaotic between-the-rounds two weeks.

Last I looked, i.e. in December, it was a head-to-head race in polls. (I note I stopped giving credit to single polls, and check all four main polls at the end of every month.)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Tue Jan 24th, 2006 at 10:08:49 AM EST
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