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But the deforestation argument doesn't really hold for Europe.

Ok, the thing is Jérôme replied to my comment on Germany in an all-organic world at current consumption levels, in which case it's unambiguous that deforestation would be necessary. So this is what I repeated.

But overall, you're right, deforestation in Europe doesn't hold. Then again, this all depends on what's been going on over the past century.

Meat production has gone up, crop production has gone up, housings have multiplied (the population has gone up), yet the forest surface has also gone up ... how did we pull this off in Europe?

Well naturally because progresses have been made in production levels, mainly through the use of better (stronger) fertilizers. Thus I don't think it's fair to say that deforestation is not an issue in Europe. It simply may not have been an issue so far because of the humongous progresses made since WWII in the oil-fertilizer department. Take that away (soon ...) and bam, we'll be just like third-world countries (which à priori do not use/afford as much fertilizer as we do) ...

by Alex in Toulouse on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:04:20 PM EST
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Besides, by the late 19th century European forests were in a sorry state, what with the industrial age and all ... so rebuilding a forest that's in a poor state (nota bene: that has not been converted to arable land, but that has only been logged for wood) is bound to increase forest surface areas over a century. What's important is what happens from now on ...
by Alex in Toulouse on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:08:23 PM EST
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Spain cut down most of its trees to build ships. Britain cut down its entire stock of yew to make longbows. Deforestation in Europe by and large took place before the industrial revolution, which was fueled by coal and iron, not wood. So I don't know what a fair point of comparison would be, really. But it is clear why the lop point of deforestation should have happened in the 1800's (with cross-country variations of a few couple of decades).

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:16:51 PM EST
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Coal and iron, but then what about charcoal? I'm sure you're totally right about pre-industrial age deforestation, but I still think that the industrial age was particularly nasty to our forests.
by Alex in Toulouse on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:36:10 PM EST
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What about charcoal? Please enlighten me.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:37:01 PM EST
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Wasn't charcoal still used as a cheaper energy source than coal back then?

Anyhow about the industrial age, I found this on the CIDA forestry advisers network website:

Meanwhile, back in Europe, the arrival of the Industrial Revolution put tremendous pressure on the remaining forests to supply fuel for the smelters and foundries of the new industries. Before the end of the 19th century, most of the Europe's ancient forests were only distant memories.
by Alex in Toulouse on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:47:24 PM EST
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Wikipedia: Charcoal
Historically the massive production of charcoal (at its height employing hundreds of thousands, mainly in Alpine and neighbouring forrests) has been a major cause of deforestation, especially in Central Europe, but to a lesser extent even before, as in Stuart England. The increasing scarcity of easily harvested wood was a major factor for the switch to the fossil equivalents, mainly coal and brown coal for industrial use.
This is terrible: the switch to coal happened because we run out of wood...

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:39:46 PM EST
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Ahh I thought coal was more efficient, which is why the main industries shifted to it. But this would also have meant that charcoal would have been used by all the poorer folk/industries, given the expenses surrounding coal extraction (as opposed to the easy way of producing charcoal).

But this bit you cite from Wikipedia clearly tells me that I was way off!!

by Alex in Toulouse on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:50:05 PM EST
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After you take into account the cost of extraction, I wonder whether coal is really more efficient than charcoal.

It's like oil: at some point before it's totally depleted it will take more oil to power the extracion operations than is produced. At that point, oil ceases to be an energy source and becomes an expensive input to the chemical industry.

Remember the plan to build a nuclear power plant in order to get oil out of the Canadian oil sands?

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:57:14 PM EST
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I don't have hard data on this, but I think mountainous regions have been reforested after being abandoned by small peasant farmers. You know, mowers used to tie themselves to a stake on steep slopes so as to be able to lean back on the rope and be at the proper angle to use the scythe. That is a world that disappeared, true, partly with the advent of increasingly industrial farming. We will probably only go back to working such areas in the event of catastrophic environmental/ecomonomic collapse (which is possible). But, in that case, even the big meat-eaters will be forced to reduce their intake... (Let the happy hunter-gatherers get out there and try and catch a wild rabbit with their bare hands ;))

Don't think I don't agree with you that we produce and consume meat at unsustainable levels, I do. I'm just chipping at some of your arguments I find a bit wilder than others.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:17:49 PM EST
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I'm just chipping at some of your arguments I find a bit wilder than others

This will be my demise, argh.

by Alex in Toulouse on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 12:30:36 PM EST
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well i'm reclaiming my 5 acre farm fro the creeping reforeststion that is happening to fields all over the area, as the meadows and spaces that humans cleared by hand over the centuries have been abandoned in the exodus to the cities.

the richer bottom lands are still treeless, whipped by chemicals into growing tobacco, but many of the hill farms are reverting fast.

when i saw de lang on tv overlooking france from a helicopter, saying that if it were not for the cap, all the farmland would be swallowed by woods quite quickly.

i have mixed feelings about this, as i imagine the woods would be cut pretty swiftly and unsustainably if heating prices continue to rise exponentially, and the wildlife is very sparse now, due to overhunting and chemicals in the ecosystem.

more woods would be good for them.

italy does have a very keen forest police -forestale- who do nothing but patrol looking for illegal cutting, issue permits for tree cutting -3 months to have permission to cut one tree to make a driveway.

but when you consider it took 2 years to have a landline connected, and i am less that 2k from the nearest phone, this may be proto-italian, in its glacial slowness.

i must say that the woods are healthy, and there are lots around me, providing sustainable work for families here.

you NEVER see the kind of nightmare clearcuts like some places; there are strict rules as to how many years between cutting, and how many trees must be left uncut, to minimise runoff and erosion.

i hear if you run into a tree in your car, the fine for killing the tree can be very steep, though this may be urban legend.

as fuel prices rise, i expect more will be done by hand, providing more jobs and more incentive not to damage the national patrimony....colour me optimistic on this perhaps!

maybe someone will come up with a solar panel-powered laser chainsaw, lol.

'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 01:02:33 PM EST
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So, how much charcoal could be sustainably harvested from the average forest? And how much food grown organically fron the same land area? (clearly not both at the same time)

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Jan 26th, 2006 at 01:07:57 PM EST
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