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The normal cavet applies.  Crossposted from Dkos, written from an American perspective.  Nontheless, intensely relevant to Europe.   The whole world is going to have to accustome themselves the the rise of the Latin Left.  As I said at Dkos:

We ignore the rise of the Latin Left at our own peril.  With forethought and compromise the ambitions and desires of our southern neighbors can be accomodated.  We have to be the voice for coexistence or we will reap a harvest of fear and loathing.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Thu Jan 5th, 2006 at 02:11:09 AM EST
So, what is the European perspective to this story?

Money is a sign of Poverty - Culture Saying
by RogueTrooper on Thu Jan 5th, 2006 at 06:36:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Very strange interpretation of 1968... and Subcommandante Marcos.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Thu Jan 5th, 2006 at 09:19:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
How so?

I'm no expert on Mexico, but I think that there's a strong argument to be made that Marcos is a product of 1968, and that the rejection of the poltical process comes (understandably) from the trauma of the Tlatelolco Massacre.  

I'm a firm believer that governments who deny their people the ballot will force them into the path of the bullet to have their say.

Political movements are in large part organic responses to the circumstances of their birth.  Marcos is part of the generation that went to the streets and were shot down (literally),  they were denied the ballot and the public square, so they embraced the bullet and the revolution.  The formative experience of people's have a tremendous impact on their poltical cultures, see the ingrained mistrust of authority that lingers in the countries of the Warsaw Bloc till this day.

What I have no tolerance for is those who refuse to lay down arms when they can have their say at the polls.  Marcos says that he's laid down arms, but if he doesn't get what he wants if AMLO is elected is he going to be back out in the jungle stirring shit up?

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Thu Jan 5th, 2006 at 11:56:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think that there's a strong argument to be made that Marcos is a product of 1968

No no, that wasn't what I meant. I see I need to write the long version :-)

First I was responding to the following from an European viewpoint:

...the strain of 1968 that refuses to make peace with authority and power no matter how reasonable the propostions being put forward are.

I wouldn't characterise 1968 as a revolt of uncompromising truebelievers. The later Red Brigades and Red Army Fraction (which you may know under the misleading 'Baader-Meinhof gang' name) would fit that description, but 1968 was a broad rebellion on real issues that for example crippled France for a month - and many onetime leading participants became leading politicians today.

Regarding Marcos, what I found strange was that you made him appear an ideologue, kind of reality-removed. But the 'Zapatistas' did much more in Chiapas than political philosophy - whatever one thinks on the value of these, they created autonomous village communities and effected land redistribution.

The current propaganda tour by Marcos also aims at spreading these autonomous communities across Mexico, to get people to self-organise. Such organisation is a mainstay of leftism, voting for a President is just not enough, the líder--followers model is not a lasting one. Speaking of elections, let me offer you this alternative view on the Zapatistas: on one hand, by not competing in the elections, they are in fact giving AMLO & PRD more of a chance (contrast that with the hard left in say Chile); on the other hand, should an elected government roll over regional interests, those hit hard have every right to resist.

But back to the uncompromising truebeliever/ideologue theme. Wanting one party on the Left, centrism and this form of dismissal has a long tradition in the USA, but it is one I'm not at all fond of. (Disclaimer: I may be motivated here by having lived through the nineties when Europe was dominated by centre-left parties, which squandered every chance for implementing any significant lasting reforms in their direction - unlike their rightist counterparts.)

This dismissal sounds as if ideological debate is only academic, and not also a very real and cutting-into-the-flesh policy debate. Criticism of a moderate reform policy package is not necessarily motivated by philosophy department longing for dogmatic purity, but differing-from-your views that those reforms are not reasonable - but (a) insignificant, or (b) counterbalanced by other policies or lack of reforms in other fields, or (c) could backfire later or not achieve lasting change.

In Latin America, my emphasis would be on the last: lasting change. In the US, redistribution and expropriations are anathema, but with the perhaps more encroached and unfair ownership structures in 19th/early20th century Europe and today's Latin America, they are very much on the agenda (or were sometime in the last two centuries). Money for the poor just won't do it in itself, and certainly not a mere election victory.

Let's review the political spectrum: AMLO doesn't like to be compared to Chávez. But, apart from fiery rhetoric, as I made the case in an earlier diary, Chávez's economic policies are relatively tame - far away from Castro's command economy, and tamer than say the Atlee government's reforms in post-war Britain. López Obrador more likes comparison with Brazil's Lula. But Lula, while cutting some ties with the Washington Consensus, can't be said to having ditched neoliberalism altogether (the pro-agribusiness permit of GM food is one indication), and shied away from land reform. Back to López Obrador, his lack of rejection of NAFTA indicates to me that even less far left than Lula, Mexico won't be part of a Latin American (economic) block opposed to the USA. To come finally to Subcommandante Marcos, he is from a long-running Latin American tradition (which didn't start with 1968 or Che, and which is not as fringe there as in the USA) that is clearly to the left of Chávez.

I think these are very real differences, and the disagreements stemming from it can't be put down to hotheadism. And while I don't share the view that the Chilean far left's irresponsible impatience was crucial for Allende's downfall, still I would make the point that the Zapatistas vs. PRD doesn't compare - they neither depend on nor directly compete with each other.

As a closing note, my own view on the standoff (which, if you read carefully, I haven't expressed in the above!) is to bet on both horses: I wish López Obrador to be elected, and I wish Marcos to inspire rural grassroots organisation and to be around to egg AMLO on from the Left, and to be around as a credible candidate for the Left should AMLO fail to deliver.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Jan 6th, 2006 at 06:04:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
and America starts acting real, everybody is going to know when the shit goes down.

Europe has large investments in South and Central America, and in particlar the econony of the Iberian pensinsuls is deeply tied to Latin America. Where Britain's colonial past has lingering repercussions for it's former colonies (If the US had been a French colony that emereged as a francophone state would the Anglo-American alliance have the impact it does now on world and European politics.)  Spain and Latin America are joined together in Hispanidad the common cultural heritage that includes the Castillian language and  the legacy of Spanish law on the continent.

The emerging Latin Bloc will have an impact on world poltics, Europe will feel the impact.    The closure of American borders would only serve to increase the flow of Latin Americans to Europe's shores. Spain has been the recipient of large scale immigration from Ecuador in recent years,  If Mexicans can no longer go to Chicago it's likely they'll end up in Madrid.  I think the AMLO can stem the flow of immigrants from Mexico, but there's such a push out of the country here that migration will be a fact for many years to come.

There's a strain of thought that argues that Stalin more than Jean monnet deserves the credit for European integration.  George Bush seems to be playing the same role for Latin America.  The Bush Administration shows little patience for the Bolivarian sentiement in South America, and they've shown themselves more than willing to engage in hostilities less than war against the countries of Latin America.  Chavez has been the recipient of US funded coup attempts, and the base at Manta in Ecuador and Mariscal Estigbarria in Paraguay are part of an effort to create an American military presence in the region.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Thu Jan 5th, 2006 at 12:12:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Cheers MfMM. That was a very informative post. I had not thought about the effects of this new Bolivarian consiousness in terms of immigration into Europe.

Money is a sign of Poverty - Culture Saying
by RogueTrooper on Thu Jan 5th, 2006 at 12:19:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The closure of American borders would only serve to increase the flow of Latin Americans to Europe's shores.

I think that will be less significant (not reaching the levels of immigration from Africa) - mainly due to geographic and connected money limitations; while illegal immigration to the USA just can't be stopped (closing borders only creates a lucrative black market).

There's a strain of thought that argues that Stalin more than Jean monnet deserves the credit for European integration.

I prefer a third strain of thought - not wanting to repeat the run-ups to WWI and WWII.

BTW, I see I again do this - responding only to disagreements and not applauding agreed parts... So better late then never, ManfromMiddletown, great diary and informative comments!

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Fri Jan 6th, 2006 at 06:17:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think that will be less significant (not reaching the levels of immigration from Africa) - mainly due to geographic and connected money limitations; while illegal immigration to the USA just can't be stopped (closing borders only creates a lucrative black market).

It's true that  geography is an impediment here, but the large numbers of Ecuadorians in Madrid show it can happen.  If the US border is militarized I think it would at least slow immigration into the US.   I'm all for solutions that address immigration that work by creating opportunity in immigrant's home countries, but I have to say that I think I'm glad us Americans have an immigrant class that's shares a smiliar cultural background and religion to the peple already here.  There are problems but we don't have jihad in the dykes like happenened in the Netherlands recently with Theo Van Gogh.  

I've always found it curious that Europeans haven't shown a preference and encouragement to Latin immigrants o ver Arabs for this reason.  Of course until recently South America was where Europeans went to make their money then come home.

I prefer a third strain of thought - not wanting to repeat the run-ups to WWI and WWII.

There was never a WWIII. I'm a strong believer in the idea that forces over time change how societies think and act, and that what's happening now isn't a guarantee that things will be the same in the future.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg

by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Fri Jan 6th, 2006 at 08:39:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... from Business Week (of all places): a piece named "Of Management and Morality", about Swiss-based management thinker Fredmund Malik (read the whole think, it's worth it).

To Malik, the strength of the German economy lies with family-run enterprises such as media company Bertelsmann, chainsaw maker Stihl, or cake-mix and frozen-pizza maker Dr. Oetker. "That's what's really decisive in Germany. They are entrepreneurially led enterprises. Shareholder value, stakeholder value -- they were never infected by these terms," Malik says.

He even defends Germany's much-maligned social welfare system. Only by paying generous benefits to laid-off factory workers can Germany avoid social unrest, Malik maintains. "You can't make a steelworker into a computer operator. That doesn't work," he says. "The problem [of unemployment] has to be absorbed politically. Society must pay benefits to the unemployed, or we will repeat the 1930s."


Another sign of the widening chasm between GOP's America and what was for a long time the closest US ally in Europe. If you thought, it's only the French...
by Bernard (bernard) on Thu Jan 5th, 2006 at 04:24:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yep, Malik is someone who should be heard more. He is a qualified voice against the neoliberal consensus, and against economic propaganda for the so-called Anglo-Saxon model (misnomer for the Nottingham Sheriff model).

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Fri Jan 6th, 2006 at 06:09:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Bravo. Superb diary. This could change the course of US foreign policy for many years. And that will have an impact on Europe.

Do not feel safe. The poet remembers.
Czeslaw Milosz
by Chris Kulczycki on Thu Jan 5th, 2006 at 09:52:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Another great diary, MfM.  I wish the US would just leave Latin America the hell alone and stop fucking around in its political systems.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Thu Jan 5th, 2006 at 11:51:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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