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A 3-way race is going to be interesting, because if Royal does not win in the first round, the runner-up might have a chance in the second round by gathering the votes of the third candidate.

At this point, I'd guess it is
Royal 50%
Strauss-Kahn 30%
Fabius 20%

So it could go anywhere from here.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 4th, 2006 at 05:41:50 PM EST
That is pretty much what I meant to suggest above.

Royal is probably close to a first-round clear victory, however.

And it is not clear all Fabius first-round votes would go to DSK in the event of a Round Two play-off.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Oct 5th, 2006 at 01:55:46 AM EST
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