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A 3-way race is going to be interesting, because if Royal does not win in the first round, the runner-up might have a chance in the second round by gathering the votes of the third candidate.

At this point, I'd guess it is
Royal 50%
Strauss-Kahn 30%
Fabius 20%

So it could go anywhere from here.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Oct 4th, 2006 at 05:41:50 PM EST

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