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I'm fairly certain I've figured out a simple way to describe 95% certainty to laymen, 2 standard deviations in a normal distribution.  If you draw them pictures they will understand.

And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg
by ManfromMiddletown (manfrommiddletown at lycos dot com) on Thu Nov 2nd, 2006 at 06:35:59 AM EST
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And 99% confidence is 3 standard deviations.

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Nov 2nd, 2006 at 04:15:24 PM EST
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