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Electoral fatigue. Turnout tends to suffer when voters are asked to vote often, and the more elected positions the greater the decline. I'm thinking of doing research in this area for my thesis. In America we vote a minimum of 6 times in a 4 year cycle, with 20-30 positions elected in each election.
Your analysis of the Catalan political situation is spot on.
I did not know that Ciutadans had support from Cope and El Mundo, very odd.
I thought that ICV was part of the tripartit.
I think that in the long term it makes a huge difference whether the coalition is CiU-ERC or CiU-PSC.
If CiU-ERC, this will lead to a nationalist path, and Cataluna will become like the Basque country with local politics largely divorced from the national context.
This would also really piss off the PP, and more importantly sections of the military might feel the need to move to protect the unity of the country. The Spanish (Catalans included) seem slow to rise, but when they do the response is dramatic and often traumatic. And I'll give my consent to any government that does not deny a man a living wage-Billy Bragg
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