Dutch General Elections Diary (in progress) | 139 comments (139 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: Dutch General Elections Diary (in progress) (none / 1)

Seats based on 75%
CDA: 41
PVDA: 33
VVD: 22
SP: 25
Groen Links: 7
D66: 3
ChristenUnie: 6
SGP: 2
PVDD: 2
PVDV: 9

by Freud (freud@freudie.org) on Wed Nov 22nd, 2006 at 04:53:33 PM EST

Re: Dutch General Elections Diary (in progress) (none / 0)

Could the high SP vote be a vote against a Grand Coalition? (Did Bos and Balkenende gave too obvious signs of aiming for that?)

Wilders gets more than the Greens, bleagh.

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Wed Nov 22nd, 2006 at 05:12:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Dutch General Elections Diary (in progress) (none / 0)

So what coalitions are possible?

If I have understood previous info correctly these parties will not be part of the new government on the basis of being to wierd to be acceptable by those they could form a majority with:

SGP: 2
PVDD: 2
PVDV: 9

So that leaves 137. And what do you need for a majority, 75 or 76? (Basically that is a question of if there is a tie-breaking vote). Are minority governments acceptable in practice?

If I go by my weirdzo rule above, a quick look says that no majority can be formed without either
CDA: 41
or
VVD: 22

but neither can a majority be formed without
PVDA: 33
SP: 25
or
Groen Links: 7

So deal with wierdzos, form a minority government or some form av grand coalition?

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by A swedish kind of death on Wed Nov 22nd, 2006 at 05:14:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Dutch General Elections Diary (in progress) (none / 1)

I think it'll be: CDA/PVDA/Christenunie

by Freud (freud@freudie.org) on Wed Nov 22nd, 2006 at 05:20:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Good call (none / 1)

But this does suggest that negotiation between CDA and SP will bounce. Balkenende practically invited the SP over for the negotiation table on the tv..

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Wed Nov 22nd, 2006 at 05:27:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Good call (none / 0)

CDA+SP is 67 according to the latest result. So what other party/parties are possible in addition?

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by A swedish kind of death on Wed Nov 22nd, 2006 at 05:55:21 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Good call (none / 0)

The truth? None.

Only Wilders (impossible) or a cobmination of 2 other parties. ChristenUnie + GroenLinks? ChrisenUnie + D66? It's all pretty hopeless.

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Wed Nov 22nd, 2006 at 06:06:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Good call (none / 0)

And minority government is out of the question?

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by A swedish kind of death on Wed Nov 22nd, 2006 at 06:10:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Good call (none / 0)

No, but not common. I can't even recall that it has been done before, until this year.

67 seats sounds as too little, especially in a partnership of CDA and SP.

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Wed Nov 22nd, 2006 at 06:18:59 PM EST
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