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show a renewed boost in the PvdA (but still at a loss), the VVD in stasis and GroenLinks climbing back to their old level. It has been estimated that up to 40 percent of potential voters are undecided - the scales can still tip over rapidly in a situation likes this.

Party - Current Seats-Projected Seats

CDA             44-43
PvdA             42-37
VVD             28-20
SP             9-24
Fortuyn         8-2
GroenLinks      8-8
D66             6-3
ChristenUnie    3-5
SGP             2-2
Wilders         0-3
EénNL           0-2
Animal Party    0-1

Source: Barometer

by Nomad on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 09:52:57 AM EST
I heard today that some regions are reverting from electronic back to paper balloting (just for this election?). Out of curiosity, do you have any details of the reason for the switch?
by det on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 10:04:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
After a report on the un-safety of voting machines the minister decided to switch back to red pencils for part of the voting machines. It's the same old story we know from the United States - which also kicked off the scrutiny for the Dutch voting machines.
by Nomad on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 10:14:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, at least it is good that an elected official acts on an identified the problem (damn! - my expectations have dropped so low).
by det on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 10:21:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The key reason was that some of the voting computers (10%) generated a radio signal which could be read from a distance of more than 10 meters. This threatened voting secrecy.

My city Amsterdam and some other small communities will be voting with an old-style red-pencil.

by Indrah on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 10:55:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So not at all like in the USA, but care about a much less critical problem.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 11:01:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well. Many of us do worry that someone might infiltrate the software to steal votes and fix the election. Like many in the US suspect (Diebold etc.).

This is what the group "we-dont-trust-voting-computers" is primarily about. The manufacturers and the government so far have denied that this is a problem.

Personally I agree with the view that voting computers are a bad solution for a non-existent problem.

by Indrah on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 11:17:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Having read both of your excellent diaries I have taken the liberty to extract some statements from your descriptions of the parties, a kind of short hand guide for poll watching as my memory does not otherwise hold up... Cutting left and right without too much care, hope you don't mind...

  • Partij voor de Dieren (Pro-animal party)
    Animal Mob

  • SP (Socialists)
    the classic protest alternative, conservative and suspicious of the powers of the European Union, has become an acceptable option at the left.

  • GroenLinks (Greens)
    progressive heart of the left. individual freedom, emancipation, equality in wealth distribution, left liberal model, balance between economic growth and ecological/ environmental responsibility
  • PvdA (Labour)
    liberal, humanist and feminist ideas, modernizing as it went along. the biggest centre-left party
  • Democraten 66 - D66 (Social Liberals)
    D66 formed the third (and last) party of the government coalition for the [current government]
  • CDA (ChristianDemocrats) -- Centre
    A coalition party of the current government readily embraces members adhering other faiths than Christian ones.
  • VVD (Liberals) -- Cerntre right
    formed the second important leg to the [current government], [pro] welfare state, progressive in individual rights, market liberalisation, private entrepreneurship.

  • ChristenUnie (ChristianUnion) -- Centre right
    more conservative than VVD and CDA, Socially, remarkable program, could just as easily class the ChristianUnion as a conservative party at the left.

  • SGP (Political Reformed Party) -- Centre right
    The Dutch Christian Fundies.
  • Fortuyn (Fortuynists) -- Hard right   
    Good riddance.
  • EénNL (Hard-Right, former Fortuynists) -- Hard right
    His choices on immigration and integration, bring him to the right of the spectre.
  • Groep Wilders / Partij voor de Vrijheid  (Wilders Group, former VVD)  -- Hard right
    "tsunami of islamisation" , Extremely libertarian, Opposes further EU enlargements, wants to scrap the European Parliament.

  • by someone (s0me1smail(a)gmail(d)com) on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 10:34:19 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    I should work out your "scorecard" to a (slightly) less biased overview/summary with 4-5 party key-points.

    Too exhausted with politics now... Need... air...

    by Nomad on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 10:56:24 AM EST
    [ Parent ]
    Possible Coalitions:

    CDA-VVD: 63 seats
    PvdA-SP-GroenLinks: 69
    CDA-PvdA: 80

    Needed for the majority: 76

    Basically seems like a CDA-PvdA coalition or bust.

    A centre-right minority coalition would need the support of all the small right parties plus both of the small christian parties. This is not a sufficient basis. The CDA and VVD will need to get more seats, at least 70 between them, which I don't think is on the cards.

    A left minority coalition would need the support of D66 and the ChristenUnie. That's less, but the differences between the three left parties are too big for them to be able to hold together as a minority government.

    Other combinations are currently unthinkable.

    An interesting question: could a third party be added to the CDA-PvdA coalition? I'm thinking either GroenLinks or the ChristenUnie. Maybe the differences there are not too great to be overcome...

    by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 06:01:00 PM EST
    [ Parent ]


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