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Possible Coalitions:

CDA-VVD: 63 seats
PvdA-SP-GroenLinks: 69
CDA-PvdA: 80

Needed for the majority: 76

Basically seems like a CDA-PvdA coalition or bust.

A centre-right minority coalition would need the support of all the small right parties plus both of the small christian parties. This is not a sufficient basis. The CDA and VVD will need to get more seats, at least 70 between them, which I don't think is on the cards.

A left minority coalition would need the support of D66 and the ChristenUnie. That's less, but the differences between the three left parties are too big for them to be able to hold together as a minority government.

Other combinations are currently unthinkable.

An interesting question: could a third party be added to the CDA-PvdA coalition? I'm thinking either GroenLinks or the ChristenUnie. Maybe the differences there are not too great to be overcome...

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Tue Nov 21st, 2006 at 06:01:00 PM EST
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dvx 4
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