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The problem there, as nanne points out, is NATO. If regional war flares up around Kurdistan we'll probably have to get involved.

On which side? US armed and backed Iraqi Kurds (+Turkish Kurds + Other Kurds). or NATO member Turkey (which might actually initiate the conflict?)

The road of excess leads to the palace of wisdom - William Blake

by talos (mihalis at gmail dot com) on Tue Dec 12th, 2006 at 09:51:01 AM EST
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Wow, you just acknowledged the elephant in the room!
by Upstate NY on Tue Dec 12th, 2006 at 11:09:43 AM EST
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Obviously on Turkey's side, as Iraqi Kurdistan is not a NATO member as of this writing. Turkey will be very careful not to initiate the hostilities, as that might give the rest of NATO an 'out': a mutual defence agreement might not extend to war of aggression.

<tinfoil>Now, I wonder whether the game that is being played here by the US is to get Turkey integrated with the EU and then using Iraqi Kurdistan to draw the EU into WWIII</tinfoil>

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Dec 12th, 2006 at 11:13:07 AM EST
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where'd you get that tinfoil?

The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill
by r------ on Tue Dec 12th, 2006 at 11:18:54 AM EST
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Do you need some, or should I ask for my money back?

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Dec 12th, 2006 at 11:36:16 AM EST
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quite alright, i've plenty myself. i use it to ward off those conspiracy theories getting beamed into my brain.

The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill
by r------ on Tue Dec 12th, 2006 at 11:54:21 AM EST
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Well, if Turkey doesn't initiate the hostilities, it's rather doubtful that the Iraqi Kurds will. Possibly Turkey might "pre-emptively" strike PKK "terror-bases" in Northern Iraq, but that would open such a huge can of worms that I'd rather not think about it...

Having said that, I would point out that Washington has named a "special envoy for countering the PKK" - who "sits on the Board of Directors of Lockheed Martin and serves as vice chairman of The Cohen Group, a lobbying firm that has represented Lockheed since 2004". In a freak coincidence Turkey bought a shitload of airplanes from Lockheed-Martin a few weeks later. Yet at the same time they are cooperating in "anti-terrorist" activities with Iran. So I'm not sure about the nature of the games that are being played here - but it doesn't sound promising... Especially given that the reaction of the Iraqi Kurds, through Barzani, to the rather unimpressive Baker report, which however explicitly denied the prospect of Kurdish autonomy, was to threaten that:

...Kurds will seek independence should the White House implement key proposals by the Baker-Hamilton report on Kirkuk, federalism, changes in the constitution, and control of oil resources...

The Turkish government's concept of what they have a say about, however is worrying...

The road of excess leads to the palace of wisdom - William Blake

by talos (mihalis at gmail dot com) on Tue Dec 12th, 2006 at 12:45:45 PM EST
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