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Snark aside, I remember the Jerome from 2 or 3 years ago, when you began posting regularly, and does it seem to you that you've become far more radical and darker in vision than you used to be?
Seriously, the more you read about peak oil, the harder it is to be reassured that a smooth transition can take place. I still believe it is possible (which probably makes me an optimist) because we waste so much and could change our ways without meaningful loss of "prosperity" - but the more time passes, and the more I see that only a crisis will bring this about.
On the nuclear front, well, attacking Iran is (i) talked about and (ii) totally stupid, so one cannot help being worried. And a nuclear attack would certainly have terrifying consesquences - and yet it seems it cannot totally be excluded with this administration.
In my optimistic days, I think that they actually care about our future, and are actually trying to bring about as quickly as possible the crisis that will finally force us to change our wasteful ways... In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
When I look back, even my rather pessimistic outlook of 2003 seems rosy compared to where we are today, and I can't help wondering in I'll say the same thing in 2009. It is a scary thought.
As you heard me say quite often, I think the next decade -- in a weirdly similar parallel with the first decade or so of the 20th century -- will see some major transformations in the world order.
Heh, I just dug up my earlier self on the evening open thread too... but I got pessimistic enough in December 2001.
(Jérôme, this is what I meant.) *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
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