I am more pessimistic. The public is less sceptical now than before Iraq, and no government launched a pre-emptive anti-war line (like Schröder's did last time). The protests may fizzle out.

Massive rearmament, nuclear as well as conventional follows.

I don't think so. I don't think the EU will even attempt an armament race with the USA, if at all, then in other fields. (This is not only my desire speaking: I don't think existing EU-military ambitions can be throttled up that much against the economic, social and political realities and reigning philosophies in Europe.)

_{*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.}