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I wonder what the Bush administration needs to do for European governments to see it as a dangerous rogue nation to be contained rather than as an ally. China, Russia and Latin America already do. Maybe an attack on Iran outside of international law would do it?

I think part of the problem is that such a change of attitude would be a huge shock for Europe, which is stil not fully recovered from the fall of the iron curtain. It would force Europe to stand on its own on the world scene in a way that it hasn't had to since before WWII. NATO would implode. The EU core would hold but possibly not the periphery. Things could only get worse once a break between the US and the EU becomes explicit. A lost of what the US has been doing undercover in Europe over the past few years might be exposed. It would be really ugly. The US would sulk and turn at once more aggressive and isolationist. There would be the potential for an economic recession simply on the basis of straining the strong ties between the American and European economies. There might be serious divestments, a run on the dollar...

In my mind, but then again I am a dangerous extremist when it comes to this, the US has been a rogue state since 2002 and a failed state since Katrina. I can't imagine that European intelligence and diplomacy are not aware of this. They are probably in denial, suffering from cognitive dissonance. "Say it ain't so!"

But I ramble.

A society committed to the notion that government is always bad will have bad government. And it doesn't have to be that way. — Paul Krugman

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu May 25th, 2006 at 05:10:07 PM EST

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