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I'm pretty hopeless for anyone but Ségo to make through the PS primaries. Militants will just "vote efficient" and pick the one given the best chance nation-wide, in the polls.

I don't know if Bayrou should be considered a good or a bad surprise. The guy is pretty tasteless, and I stil don't understand what's his programme. I'm not sure he stands a chance against Royal: he's on the "Democrat-Christian" pitch, more and more left-leaning, but that's exactly where Ségo is already. Will voters choose the real one or the fake ? err, Which one is it again ? doh !

Bayrou will get his 10% and jump around the place merrily. He may well be Sarkotte's Chevenement, after what UMP will corner him in every possible local/MP election until UDF is obliterated just like the MdC.

As for Marine Le Pen, I can't see her claiming the electoral inheritance of her father, certainly not in full. So let's hope the old fart passes away.

Pierre
by Pierre on Fri Jun 23rd, 2006 at 11:07:05 AM EST
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