Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
vbo: Let me say that I do have personal friends who are Serbs and was shocked and disgusted at the NATO military intervention, which, quite predictably and apart from murder and the destruction of Serbian infrastructure, has guaranteed that Kosovo will for the forseeable future reaman an explosive nationalist issue, at the heart of the Balkans, ready to reignite, or trigger a nearby explosion, at the first chance. Incidentally, I am afraid that the aftermath of this series of Serb humiliations, will lead inexorably to the Radicals gaining power in Serbia, sooner or later, bythemselves or with equally scary allies.

However, having said all that, it seems that the idea that Kosovo is, was and should always remain Serb is flawed and unrealistic. Serbs voted with their feet over the past half-century, creating a reality on the ground that is now (and in the future will be even more) leading to permanent partition of one form or another. The idea that Albanians are "guests" in Kosovo is both unhistorical and unrealistic. Not only because Albanian speaking people have lived in the area for ages - and certainly before the "Slavic invasions", but also because in point of fact there is no way that in an area fiercely contested by opposing nationalisms, the majoritarian nationality will not tend to have the upper hand...

Although I am very much against the recognition of an independent Kosovo as things stand (being an example of victorious militancy, this sets a bad example in an area still quite teeming with minorities which are local majorities), it seems unlikely that in the long term Kosovo will be in any meaningful way Serb, apart from a small minority perhaps living there (or in a partitioned province). This is a fact. The only way it can be reversed is by a large scale military operation that will expel most of the current inhabitants and settle a new population. This would be a. impractical, b. unlikely and c. morally repugnant.

I tend to think that the least problematic of current options would be a large scale concerted and consensual redrawing of borders in the Balkans, affirming minority rights, repatriation of refugees and granting autonomous status to various population groups (as stated briefly here). The EU train (if it ever arrives) is still pretty far off, don't wait for it to arrive too soon, because you'll be disappointed.

The road of excess leads to the palace of wisdom - William Blake

by talos (mihalis at gmail dot com) on Fri Jun 30th, 2006 at 10:31:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by Sirocco (sirocco2005ATgmail.com) on Fri Jun 30th, 2006 at 11:23:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You are right in everything you said but if you know Serbs you'll know that we are hardly rational people.
And with Kosovo emotions are high. I personally visited Kosovo once in my entire life and that one time I was actually forced to go there because my husband was in the army (conscript). Being from Belgrade, I felt like I am not in my own country (more like Middle east)  and I did not feel safe at all ( it was 1977) or welcomed in any way. I have no any ties with Kosovo but even I feel it is ours...
You are perfectly right, it's not realistic but...as I said Serbs are used to waiting for historical chances keeping the idea alive through generations.
" C'erac'emo se josh"...is untranslatable and means something like "we'll storm each other yet again".
    Quote:
I tend to think that the least problematic of current options would be a large scale concerted and consensual redrawing of borders in the Balkans, affirming minority rights, repatriation of refugees and granting autonomous status to various population groups (as stated briefly here).
---
Oh my friend this is a real pipedream ...never happened in history...never ever ...and will not happen.

Quote:
The EU train (if it ever arrives) is still pretty far off; don't wait for it to arrive too soon, because you'll be disappointed.
---
As for me personally I don't even believe EU will survive long enough to see anybody really benefit from it but westerners ...but if it somehow manage to become anything apart from economic union there is no chance that they can afford to have such big "hole" at such a strategic place...so count Serbs in. Informally they are in even today in many ways (I don't think I even like it, but I am pretty far away to have right to complain).
With independence of Kosovo, Europe is going to definitely open Pandora's Box...With provocation of Balkan wars and partition of Yugoslavia Europe and USA already opened it slightly. Don't forget that these are prosperous times for EU , USA but they can't last for ever without crises...and for this kinds of matters one's life time is to short...Who would have tell that in my life time I'll see collapse of USSR and eastern block ? Or Germans and Japanese after WWII being not just partners but "in bed" together with USA and Western Europe...I would never bet in politic...

Science without religion is lame, religion without science is blind...Albert Einstein

by vbo on Sat Jul 1st, 2006 at 11:10:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Occasional Series