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There was debate recently whether Israel reduced its attacks on Lebanese civilian facilities (by an order of magnitude), or are the factors of people fleeing and rescuers finding corpses days later in the rubble enough to explain any reduction.

I scrolled through Reuters' news reports, and put the day's first and last reported figures in a spreadsheet. I made two graphs:

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Notes:

  • On the second graph, next to the raw data (in red), I added a crude sliding average (light blue; 1/3 of each day moved to the day before and 1/4 to two days earlier except at the ends).
  • No precise data for 18 and 19 July: the Reuters news reports just said "more than 200" and "more than 300" -- I tabled 200 and 300. But while the latter must have been just barely above (next morning it was 306), other agencies reported figures between 215 and 250 during the day of 18 July.
  • The latest figure I found today morning was 422 Lebanese dead.

So there seems to have been a drop from 20-50 deaths per day to 10-25 deaths, only a halving. So with the factors named above, I don't see much of a real let-up.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Jul 26th, 2006 at 04:52:34 AM EST
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