Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
I think his preferred timeline involves attacking Iran before the mid-terms.

Uniting the country around the flag of yet another Global War against whatever-we-call-it-this-time has worked before in driving the sheep through the republican gates, no doubt it will work again. Maybe not as well, but a few percentage points is all they'll need.

My worry is how they'll attack Iran. I think that Israel's setback has made the likelihood of some nuclear activity more rather than less likely. I share Billmon's pessimism on this, but I'm hoping for the best.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Aug 16th, 2006 at 12:31:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Hmmm. I wonder if maybe the Iranians know this and are playing a longer game.

From their point of view, a delay of a few months would be a small price to pay for a big win for the Dems in November.

If Iran is officially off the map as a target, it becomes that much harder for the NeoLoons to stage a convincing October surprise.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Aug 16th, 2006 at 12:41:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I would agree with this view. I think the Iranians are very clear about the knee-jerk responses from the US that they can subtly toy with.

It is classic 'Art of War' stuff.

You can't be me, I'm taken

by Sven Triloqvist on Wed Aug 16th, 2006 at 01:11:42 PM EST
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I don't think that an attack will fly, and I'm sure that any sort of Nuclear attack will cause an early change of government here.  The Democrats are running strong in places like Montana, Idaho, Indiana, Nevada and some places in Rural California.  The country is very uneasy, like I haven't seen it for decades.

I think we are more likely to see increasing bluster, and the further attempts to pack the judiciary, and draft as many laws as possible to salt away the billions of dollars they have stolen and try to insulate themselves from any coming investigations.

Trouble is coming to the United States, and people are seeing that the right-wing administration has brought down the standard of living in many areas.  The religious right is embittered, the classic conservatives are adrift, the neo-cons are discredited.

This is the best chance for the progressive wing of the country to make a move since 68.  The price of failure is appalling.  Please wish us well.

"I said, 'Wait a minute, Chester, You know I'm a peaceful man...'" Robbie Robertson

by NearlyNormal on Wed Aug 16th, 2006 at 04:38:21 PM EST
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I agree (and have sang this song several times on this forum).  We Americans will not go for a war to stop Iran's nuclear ambitions.

The Iranian Govt., doesn't appear to be interested in negotiation in good faith on this one. Europe, you may be on your own to figure out whether it's the discussions that the Iranians consider "illogical" or their suspension of nuclear activity. Beats me, but it's probably both.  I would rather talk to North Korea than the current regime in Iran.

I can swear there ain't no heaven but I pray there ain't no hell. _ Blood Sweat & Tears

by Gringo (stargazing camel at aoldotcom) on Wed Aug 16th, 2006 at 11:48:50 PM EST
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