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You're several steps ahead of us though. Hopefully that bodes well for America. If France can pull it off, maybe we can too. Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. -Voltaire
I thought the original topic was what Europe did wrong and could do better. This led to a discussion about US and Israeli wrong-doings who hamper all European efforts etc.
I don't think the constant focus on the US and Israel is interesting/fair/justified. That's why I wanted to bring the discussion back to European issues.
Jerome, what's your opinion of France's counter-terrorism policies and on Algeria/FIS/GIS in particular?
There is also a lot of intelligence gathering.
I won't comment on France's Algerian policies because it's damn hard to know what's going on and I don't care enough and thus I really don't know enough.
My general position on the region is that we need to let all these countries get their Islamist governments in order to be vaccinated against them. They are seen as the only legitimate political opposition, so any election will brign them in, and the parallel experiences of Iran and Algeria show that preventing the rise of an Islamic government is ultimately more deadly to the local population (cf cival war in Algeria)and more dangerous to us (cf Algerian terrorism in France) - and that at least Iranians, if given a choice, would ditch fundamentalists now.
Further, we have to wean ourselves of oil - that will downgrade the importance of the region.
In the meantime, as stated by others, getting to a formal Israeli-Palestinian peace would solve a lot of things.
So there you go:
I've created a monster! Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. — Euripides
Jörg. your diary is all about US policy and how European criticism of it is misplaced, not about European policy. Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. — Euripides
Because the majority of the Europeans on this site urge Europe to break with the Atlanticist tradition in favour of a European foreign policy that seeks to contain the US. You do so on moral grounds. Among the EU states that seem sympathetic to this approach the most important is France. Yet on purely moral grounds France is just as bad as the US, albeit with less power - for both better and worse. So us Atlanticists, on both sides of the ocean, call bullshit. Your position may be justified on realpolitik grounds, though I'd disagree, but at least there's a decent argument there. So we'll stop bringing up France when you stop saying that the alliance with the US is bad because the US policies are immoral. Deal?
Why are the enligtenend brainiacs running the European countries and the EU not setting the international agenda?
Why haven't they settled the Iranian dispute in the last three years, if they are so much smarter and more moral and productive than those stupid, counterproductve, immoral Americans?
Is that all you have to say to these questions?
If the US is soooo stupid -- no matter which party is in power -- why is the US still the most powerful country that sets the international agenda? Why are the enligtenend brainiacs running the European countries and the EU not setting the international agenda? Why haven't they settled the Iranian dispute in the last three years, if they are so much smarter and more moral and productive than those stupid, counterproductve, immoral Americans?
Or what about the decade old conflict in the Western Sahara?
Or Northern Cyprus?
Or Bosnia? Or Kosovo?
An independent European Foreign Policy would be great. It would be great to discuss it rather than blame the US for EU failures. The EU had all the time in the world to solve the Western Sahara or Algeria conflict, if the EU would be a good negotiator/mediator. You can't blame the US for interfering here, can you?
Responsibility for Western Sahara lies originally with Spain.
Northern Cyprus is a conflict in which Greece, a EU member state, is an interested party, and so it is hard for the EU to be a mediator.
As for Bosnia, Europe's failure there is responsible for the decision to create a European Common Foreign and Security Policy, which did not exist before. So, again, you can't fault Europe for not using a tool that did not exist before 1995.
Regarding Kosovo, UpstateNY has provided interesting insights into the less-than-helpful diplomacy conducted by the US. I shall dig up the links. Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. — Euripides
2.) "Responsibility for Western Sahara lies originally with Spain."
What are you saying? I think it has been a humanitarian crises for decades. It is close to Europe, the EU should try to broker a solution, if Spain can't do so or is considered biased (?) for historical reasons (?) I don't know.
3.) Re Cyprus: Still, it is a conflict in our backyard. And then you got the issue of Turkish EU membership and those silly Turkish-Greek quarrels that resulted in that fighter plane crash recently. These conflicts don't appear to be sooooo difficult as Darfur/Iran/Iraq, but the EU hasn't solved them. Why?
4.) Re Bosnia: I criticize that there are still thousands of our troops in Bosnia. The EU should bring peace to Bosnia and withdraw its troops rather than babysit for decades. European papers criticize the political failures in Iraq. The political issues in Bosnia and Kosovo don't appear to be as complicated, but the EU does not make any progress.
5.) Conclusion: Colman criticizes US failures and blames it on their stupidity; not just on Bush, another party in power would not make a difference, hes wrote.
Perhaps I exaggerate, but for me this suggests that Colman assumes that the European governments are smarter and more successful in solving conflicts, if those stupid Americans don't interfere as they do Iran. Thus I pointed to some other ongoing conflicts, which the EU should have solved. Instead of discussing those conflicts and EU shortcominings, most European newspapers and citizens discuss US failurs.
2.) "Responsibility for Western Sahara lies originally with Spain." What are you saying? I think it has been a humanitarian crises for decades. It is close to Europe, the EU should try to broker a solution, if Spain can't do so or is considered biased (?) for historical reasons (?) I don't know.
These conflicts don't appear to be sooooo difficult as Darfur/Iran/Iraq, but the EU hasn't solved them. Why?
We don't expect to fix things quickly. The trick is trying not to make them worse while you try to find a solution.
The EU should bring peace to Bosnia and withdraw its troops rather than babysit for decades.
Colman criticizes US failures and blames it on their stupidity; not just on Bush, another party in power would not make a difference, hes wrote.
Joerg: But who is to blame for the EU failure to bring peace to Algeria during the ten years of civil war? Why did not the EU negotiate a peace? Is the US to blame for that as well? ... Or Bosnia? Or Kosovo? *Migeru": Regarding Kosovo, UpstateNY has provided interesting insights into the less-than-helpful diplomacy conducted by the US. I shall dig up the links.
*Migeru": Regarding Kosovo, UpstateNY has provided interesting insights into the less-than-helpful diplomacy conducted by the US. I shall dig up the links.
As well, I don't believe Bosnia should have been split up as envisioned by Izebetgovic/Tudjman/Milosevic early on. The Vance Owen plan seemed to present a perfectly functional framework for gov't, one that worked elswehere, and without 100,000 deaths that ensued, the people would have been much more capable of getting along in a power-sharing gov't.
I think Holbrooke was one of the few who did things correctly. He essentially fought for the plan that Jim Baker killed three years earlier (Vance/Owen). If you look at Dayton and Vance Owen, they are very similar. Holbrooke was also very critical of Albright and her boy Jamie's conduct of Kosovo diplomacy. I dare say that if Holbrooke were still in charge, Kosovo would be a very different (and much better place) today. When it comes to American diplomats dealing with the Balkans in the 90's, I rank them like so: 1. Holbrooke ..... ..... Albright and Jamie Jim Baker
When it comes to American diplomats dealing with the Balkans in the 90's, I rank them like so:
1. Holbrooke ..... .....
Well, it depends on what you mean by integrity. Jamie was instrumental in sidelining the Kosovo Albanian leadership like Ibrahim Rugova in favor of KLA leaders like Hasim Thaci who were previously considered a bit too thuggish (by Holbrooke). By isolating Rugova and keeping him out of the talks, Rubin effectively triggered the collapse of talks at Rambouillet, especially when Thaci rejected the Serb acquiescence to Albright's demands for Kosovo. I listened to Amanpour closely during that period. Her portrayal of the KLA as freedom fighters and her reportage PRIOR to western bombing were all too closely linked to the work of her husband on the ground. That's what I question. There were definite decisions for the West to make at that point, and Holbrooke would have opted for Rugova and a peaceful settlement. Instead, Albright opted for Rubin's way, and the clash ensued.
I listened to Amanpour closely during that period. Her portrayal of the KLA as freedom fighters and her reportage PRIOR to western bombing were all too closely linked to the work of her husband on the ground. That's what I question. There were definite decisions for the West to make at that point, and Holbrooke would have opted for Rugova and a peaceful settlement. Instead, Albright opted for Rubin's way, and the clash ensued.
The Serbs AGREED to Albright's demands at Rambouillet. They did NOT refuse a NATO military presence in Kosovo at Ramby. They allowed it. The Albanian side came into the room with Albright, as Albright was sponsoring them. She was reported to be completely livid by the Albanian response. When the meeting reconvened, the new text of the agreement included a proviso which stated that NATO would deploy to Serbia proper and have effective free reign. That's what the Serbs refused.
Look into the Rambouillet negotiations. There you will find your answer. The Serbs agreed to permanently give up the province so that the UN and NATO could rule it. This was 6 months before the war. However, because Albright had sidelined the peaceful elements of the Kosovo leadership (i.e. Ibrahim Rugova) she was left with egg on her face when the Serb capitulation at Ramby surprised both her and Hasim Thaci sitting beside her. To the Serbs, "Yes, we agree," Thaci replied with a "No, we Albanians do not agree." Albright was absolutely stunned. They left the room, and they came back with an additional demand. The Serbs would not only leave Kosovo and give it up to the UN, but they would allow the UN and NATO unfettered control of Serbia proper. A non-starter. Obviously. And there you have the blown diplomacy that led to the war. Without the hostilities that ensued, both sides would have been more amenable to a bicommunal federal state on the order of Bosnia. First off, 35% of the population were non-Albanians at the time as opposed to the 95% today. Fromm Racak to Operation Horseshoe, the West concocted an ethnic cleansing plan which had no basis in reality. before the bombs started dropping, Kosovo was a low-level counter-insurgency skirmish in which less than 1,500 had died in gun battles, about a third of those Serbs, and one thousand Albanians.
Since Serbia is a regional power, the UN and EU will have to provide protection for many many years to Kosovo, and in so doing they will also have to prop it up financially. Until that time when both areas are integrated into the EU--if they ever are. Albania will be an EU member before this comes to pass. Really, this is what happens when political neophytes like Madeliene albright try to make a necessary political point (punishment of Milosevic) without considering the consequences. If the Serbs see Kosovo as their land (and they surely do) they will regard it as such until that time that the fact of Kosovo's independence is completely erased from their cultural memory. That takes a long time. Probably a century. The fact that there have been 6 Balkan Wars in the last century, not including warring between these factions during the World Wars and the Kosovo War of 1999 shows that the two sides are not averse to fighting it out again and again and again over this same patch of territory. The colossal failure of diplomacy at Rambouillet is to blame for this mess. Had Albright done the proper thing and stuck by her initial proposals (which the Serbs accepted much to her consternation) then we would have had a viable peace, a Kosova for Albanians run by Albanians, and a small chunk of Mitrovica for the Serbs. The war itself created such hostility that this division is no longer possible, especially now that the West is on the ground and seen as protectors. Yet another diplomatic screw-up among the many screw-ups that characterized the ex-Yugo wars of the 1990s.
Really, this is what happens when political neophytes like Madeliene albright try to make a necessary political point (punishment of Milosevic) without considering the consequences. If the Serbs see Kosovo as their land (and they surely do) they will regard it as such until that time that the fact of Kosovo's independence is completely erased from their cultural memory. That takes a long time. Probably a century. The fact that there have been 6 Balkan Wars in the last century, not including warring between these factions during the World Wars and the Kosovo War of 1999 shows that the two sides are not averse to fighting it out again and again and again over this same patch of territory. The colossal failure of diplomacy at Rambouillet is to blame for this mess. Had Albright done the proper thing and stuck by her initial proposals (which the Serbs accepted much to her consternation) then we would have had a viable peace, a Kosova for Albanians run by Albanians, and a small chunk of Mitrovica for the Serbs. The war itself created such hostility that this division is no longer possible, especially now that the West is on the ground and seen as protectors.
Yet another diplomatic screw-up among the many screw-ups that characterized the ex-Yugo wars of the 1990s.
The political issues in Bosnia and Kosovo don't appear to be as complicated [as in Iraq], but the EU does not make any progress.
Look into the Rambouillet negotiations.
Since Serbia is a regional power Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. — Euripides
The US is not stupid. Holbrooke wasn't stupid. Baker is looking positively evil. Albright comes through as stupid [never mind her "500,000 dead iraqi children is a price the US is willing to pay"]. Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. — Euripides
Migeru provided a fairly extensive comment, with a lot of information and sources. I am in no position to say if all in there is true, but he certianly makes a compelling case that smart European and American diplomacy could have solved the Balkan crisis early on each time, and that it was shot down for stupid reasons, in some instances by otherAmericans.
How this was a Europe vs US comment escapes me.
So if you are irremediably convinced, after the past week of intense discussion, during which several regulars gave you extended comments/explanations/information, that this site is hopelessly anti-American, all I can tell you is - stop reading it before I start writing rude replies to more comments like this one. In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
But that is beside the point. The point is that as a result of all their failures, which were openly acknowledged, the EU decided to create the Common Foreign and Security Policy which did not exist back then.
I am also still waiting for the US military to do an honest appraisal of its failures like the Netherlands did regarding Srebrenica. Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. — Euripides
Scroll up and look how this started with Colman several times calling the US stupid. For example with this:
My primary problem with US policies is their astonishing stupidity and counter-productiveness. It's not clear that switching party would help at all. Their unusual and brazen immorality is the icing on the cake.
When this discussion continued, I got the impression that EU difficulties were explained with how complicated everything was, while US difficulties were just called "astonishing stupidity" or "insanely stupid" by Colman and similarly by others in several threads of various diaries.
I did not have an issue with Migeru and his arguments. Therefore did not feel I needed to respond to his account of the Balkan history.
Colman was not talking about the Balkans, but in general. I should have made clear that I am mostly referring to Colman's comment. My mistake for not making that.
Sorry! Sorry, Migeru.
Jerome, I don't see how my reply was "rude" or more "knee-jerk" than your response to the French prison comment.
"Provocative" or "harsh" or "unfair" maybe, but not "rude".
Read Migeru's comment:
We not only are bombarded with US information but we spent a disproportionate amount of time reading their tea leaves. Everyone thinks they know enough about the US to have an opinion. If you look at any other global or regional actor that is not the case. Hopefully ET will improve our own understanding of the EU and its member states. It's not easy. http://www2.eurotrib.com/story/2006/9/15/125116/948#29
That won't happen, if the focus in many discussions on the Middle East is about highlighting US wrongdoings and "stupidity." I thought ETP is different from Dailykos.
As to my comment on French prisons, it was (probably like yours intended to be) ironic but (i) i did not defend French actions and (ii) I did not retort with accusations in return, so I refuse the comparison. I just did not see the relevance of the reference to Algeria at this point, apart from the "you did it too" argument.
You were quite specific in accusing us of having extremely simplistic, and anti-American, views, which I find offensive and, quite simply, untrue.
That won't happen, if the focus in many discussions on the Middle East is about highlighting US wrongdoings and "stupidity."
Well, if we keep on being accused of being anti-American, we'll spend disproportionate time justifying our criticism. Try to be around when we discuss Europe without reference to the USA. It happens a lot more than you may think. In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
As to my comment on French prisons, it was (probably like yours intended to be) ironic but (i) i did not defend French actions and (ii) I did not retort with accusations in return, so I refuse the comparison.
I did not defend US actions either. I did not accuse anybody of "Anti-Americanism", but you repeatedly say so. Yes, irony. A general comment about what often happens in European discussions, not just on ETB. Nothing more, nothing less.
When the US can't achieve peace: They are stupid. When the EU can't achieve peace: The conflicts are complicated.
Obviously trying to interpret everybody else's opinions, and yes, quite explicitly calling us all anti-Americans (who think that everything the US does is stupid).
That came after a VERY substantial comment (and not anti-American) by Migeru which you completely ignored. It was totally out of place and frankly, callous to Migeru.
Meanwhile, we're still waiting for YOUR opinion on all of the topics you've raised. In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
I did not.
"we're still waiting for YOUR opinion on all of the topics you've raised."
I gave a lot. ;-)
I replied to your question. I also responded to your criticism re Migeru, but yet you bring it up again. Do I want me to repeat myself?
Jöerg, we haven't spared the British and French of responsibility for the way they conducted decolonization in the middle east, or the way they carved it up after the Ottoman defeat in WWI.
As for your questions: the US is still the most powerful country, and so it mostly sets the international agenda. But that may not last if the US keeps acting stupidly.
Who has claimed the EU and its member states are run by enlightened brainiacs? Why should that mean they sould be able to set the international agenda?
Jerome's opinion [and I apologize if I'm putting words in his mouth] semms to be that the Iranian dispute is ultimately between the US and Iran, that the EU cannot "settle it" beyond bringing the US to the negotiating table, and that failing that they are settling on stalling the diplomatic process to defer the prospect of military action. I am not entirely convinced, but I have not seen another account of the EU's goals and strategy that makes more sense than this. Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. — Euripides
Only because the EU and others can't organize themselves very well.
If the US is so stupid as Colman claims, the EU should be able to get more international support for its policies and be considered a global player and an important power broker, deal breaker, conflict solver, and security, investment etc provider, who sets the international agenda.
Re: Iran: I agree to a large extent, but the EU-3 is also supposed to mediate between Iran and the US/Israel. So far the mediator wasn't successful. The "success" of stalling so far isn't really the result of great EU-3 work, but based on the fact that the US does not have the ressources to attack Iran anytime soon.
Most of the mistakes are about the peace talks. Where was Europe at those negotiations?
The US tries to solve conflicts around the world and screws up very often. Somalia, Eritrea, Darfur etc.
Europe does not embarras herself making such mistakes. The EU embarrasses herself for not trying very hard to solve conflicts.
The EU provides a lot of development aid around the world. More than the US. That should give the EU some cloud, but Europe does not seem to be all that involved in peace talks, democratisation etc.
The US isn't that powerful in the UN General Assembly. The US could veto a reform in the UN SC, but that would be very embarrassing. It would be a huge victory, if the EU could convince other countries in the UN GA to vote for a reform, but it failed so far.
Ergo: I disagree with the notion that the US sets the international agenda despite its "stupidity" because it is more powerful than the EU. Rather: I think the problem is that the EU can't get organized.
Rather than discussing how to change that, ETB and other Europeans constantly criticise the bad US who prevent peace and progress etc.
Chirac, Blair and others love to strut on the world stage and appear important, forgettign each time that the only way that they ever get anything done is when they find a common position, which they've found extremely hard to do.
Part of it is the toxic relationship between the two men, part of it is outsiders who alos enjoy playing them off one agaisnst the other (but that works only because our European leaders let them and play along), and part of it is the history of mistrust between European countries, especially these two.
The Constitution was a first institutional step to try to solve this; but at the" core countries like France and the UK have to admit that they cannot go it alone anymore. Having a joint EU seat at the UN and other organisations would be the appropriate step to have a seachange in Europe's influence. In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
Current US policy is insanely stupid and guaranteed to cause more problems than it solves. For that reason it needs to be contained. The moral argument is a horrified aside. We've detailed a hundred times.
Can I remind us all of the first rule of keeping things civil on the net? Assume the best about your interlocutors.
Yup. But the commenters here are not talking about a short term tactical shift in European foreign that will then revert back to Atlanticism when US policy goes back to a sanity, but rather a long term strategic reorientation.
The moral argument is a horrified aside.
That's not the way I read the comments on this thread and many others. From what I can tell the moral argument is an integral part of what I see as a call to something akin to US containment policy during the Cold War - though of course conveniently eliding the moral compromises such a policy would require if it were to be anything more than EU isolationism.
But the commenters here are not talking about a short term tactical shift in European foreign that will then revert back to Atlanticism when US policy goes back to a sanity, but rather a long term strategic reorientation.
Will do.
So many folks constantly complain about the US rather than outlining what an independent European policy would look like.
Such a European policy independent from the US would be great and much better than staying on the sidelines and complain about US policy 24/7.
Why hasn't the EU progressed any furhter with such European Foreign Policy?
It has been declared a goal for ages, but the EU countries can't get their act together.
Even the mission in Lebanon isn't an EU organized mission. Solana wasn't even coordinating it very much. The EU member states did not let him.
Remember who opposed an EU call for an immediate ceasefire? The UK, Germany, Czechia and Netherlands according to press reports.
The fact is, Atlanticism is a major axis of opinion [in the sense of the dimensions of the Political Compass: I lack a name for the opposite direction to Atlanticism] in the EU. There doesn't seem to be any likelihood of a consensus on that dimension for the foreseeable future. Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. — Euripides
Less NATO, more UN, a multipolar world. Feel free to make a realpolitik argument for why it can't work. Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. — Euripides
I mean, before Europe has the leeway to tactically shift its position with respect to the US, a strategic reorientation needs to take place. Right now, US strategy seems to define the boundaries of Europe's tactics. Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. — Euripides
That's a rather limited account of what some of us advocate. For example, have you read this reply to wchurchill? *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
You are probably conflating me and some others with Jérôme. This is a problem because (a) Jérôme as he says is more of a realpolitik guy, (b) criticising French policy on moral grounds is not beyond me (in fact, look back how I described the nineties bombings affair). On the other hand, I note that for me moral and rational realpolitik don't separate clearly.
One elephant in the backgroom throughout this discussion has been that the promotion of "modernity" in the Middle East is seriously hampered by its source and advocates not living up to its ideals in their policies towards the region, and this is also widely perceived and seen as important (as opposed to say Africa, but not unlike say Latin America). The immorality of even the most clever realpolitik will erode the soft power of its applier. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
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