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To me all the evidence that I need for peak oil comes from the production numbers for the lower 48 US states. There it is, in pure numerical glory, hard data, showing a clear peak and decline. People will claim in perpetuity that this doesn't apply to the world as a whole, for reason that they can never quite quantify.

I now refer to peak oil naysayers as "earth with a creamy oil center theorists." Mmmm, creamy oil center....

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Wed Sep 6th, 2006 at 02:08:14 PM EST
Peak oil has nothing to do with abiotic oil. The original reserves of oil in the contiguous 48 US states took 4.5 billion years to form and have been extracted, going through a Hubbert peak, in about 100 years. That gives you an idea of the rate of production of abiotic oil. Might be renewable, but at a ridiculous rate.

With non-renewable resources, the limiting factor is the rate of extraction. With renewable resources, the limiting factor is the rate of natural replacement. If abiotic oil had anywhere near the rate of natural replacement to be useful, there would not have been a Hubbert peak in the US in the 1970's.

Nothing is 'mere'. — Richard P. Feynman

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Sep 6th, 2006 at 02:17:08 PM EST
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Not only that, but about 40 or so of the 60 or countries that have ever produced oil are in decline today.

Abiotic oil has been debunked thoroughly many times. Just do a search over at the Oil Drum

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Sep 6th, 2006 at 02:25:29 PM EST
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