You don't give reasons why you're not buying. The only reason you can have that I can think of is that they can't be that crazy.

Crazy would have been doing this last fall in order to "bolster the election results for the republicans" as probably half the people on this site felt would occur, which couples nicely with the fantastically paranoid impression that the "republicans would not relinquish their control of congress peacefully." Given the track record of the left wing blogosphere on Iran, I don't think the onus is on Gringo to prove an attack won't happen. The onus is on you to prove that it will, and presenting op-ed pieces by politicians doesn't create a compelling case.

Along these lines, why won't this "second carrier group in the gulf proves an attack is imminent" idea go away? I haven't seen it presented in a military context once in the several months it has been out there, a nice demonstration of the collective lack of intellectual rigor among the public.

you are the media you consume.