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Whether or not you find my "computations" convincing, are you claiming that someone has found a way to "decomission" strip mines?

How about "decommissioning" the atmosphere?

The pH of the ocean is rapidly falling and coral reefs rapidly disappearing.   What are the plans for "decommissioning" the vanished reefs?

The Rhone glacier in Valais, Switzerland, is rapidly shrinking.   What are the plans for decommissioning the Rhone River, which originates from it?

If you are French, whether or not you know it, you are extremely lucky to have lots of nuclear plants.   Your country has the finest electrical generations system on the planet.

It is not true by the way that any coal plant, IGCC or otherwise, can be decommissioned at the same health standard applied to nuclear plants.   Simply because no one looks at the matter, doesn't mean that it is a non-issue.

by NNadir on Mon Jan 8th, 2007 at 09:30:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I think that browbeating people with rhetorical questions won't change their minds--it'll just stop them arguing with you.  The elephant in the room here is...are...the problems with nuclear power.  If you could lay those out along side the problems with other forms of energy production, then we'll be able to see...the whole picture.  All the while you say "Nuclear is the only way!  Anything else is condemning people to death!" you're advocating a position...fine...but it's not a discussion...unless you can do what you ask others to do: see the weaknesses in your own arguments, find the weak links.

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.
by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Mon Jan 8th, 2007 at 09:39:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]
NNadir's questions go directly to the heart of the problem.

With nuclear and wind, "we" somehow want all costs assessed, all risks eliminated to tolerate these production facilities. The same standards are applied to no other human activity, and in particular not to the most direct alternative to these: coal power.

These questions are absolutely fundamental.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 06:29:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think (pace: the daily news here) that our main task is to unpick hidden assumptions, one of which is that the world just "is" this way.  I would like all costs assessed, and as many risks eliminated as possible.

In the chart you posted elsewhere, wind and hydro came out tops, there was no figure for geo-thermal.  Lignite was the most polluting, followed by coal.  Nuclear was the cleanest (on those criteria) "non-renewable", and it also beat photo-voltaic...I can't remember in which categories, but it had a lower total score.

Tony Blair is convinced that now we must build nuclear because anything else is...well...a death sentence to X number of human beings.  The assumption underlying this is...to do with industrial society, its construction, its needs, and its goals.

But yes.  We have the govts. we have, and if they feel building coal will make "green" voters happier than building nuclear powers stations...then they'll build nuclear and the nuclear lobby will be happy.

As an aside, it seems the green lobby must be growing rapidly for so much animus to be directed against it.  As DoDo mentions, the Greens were there at the beginning, arguing against all forms of ambient pollution.  So why they become the bogeyman...I dunno.  I guess they're getting stronger.  Thing is, they're anti-coal too (I think...correct me if I'm wrong.)

To state a position, I agree with what you wrote a while back, Jerome.

Do the following in the following order

Reduce consumption
Increase renewables
Increase nuclear
Increase coal/gas

I still believe (this future gazing, after all, and it worries me when the debate becomes like a law room tussle, with a victor and a loser...just the best solutions for all of us....stretching out beyond humans, please...), yes I still believe that a mix of the first two in that list are all we need.  And I mean across the planet.  Europe and the States are in the material and political position to make the move...or maybe they're not.  Certainly some american states are...and I expect them to take the renewables lead ("piddle power"!  As against huge gushes of manly piss power!)...ach...wrong debate...

The idea is that Africa, India, China, Mongolia, etc...  need nuclear to generate enough power to enjoy western lifestyles.  I argue that by offering them renewable energy and realising that where our reduced consumption and their increased consumption meet is not some definite agreed line but is undecided...

Double ach!

I would like to see the following...links if the info exists:

List of basic necessities that demand power (has an ideological edge, but surely we can agree on a basic list)

Specific number for energy needed to satisfy those basic needs (and remember: a power shower for every human may well be a basic need...the discussion...well...maybe we've had it...so give me the link and I can read and enjoy it!)

Then the question: which forms of energy can supply those needs and at the same time create fewest risks, greatest knock on opportunities, etc... for humans and beyond.

It may be that some areas will come out needing nuclear, others solar, others wind.

But the argument has to be NUCLEAR! with a capital shoutiness...and against coal, but somehow blaming the greens...or maybe I missed a load of stuff...

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.

by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 08:32:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The elephant in the room here is...are...the problems with nuclear power.  If you could lay those out along side the problems with other forms of energy production, then we'll be able to see...the whole picture.

Psst, rg, look here:

One thing I reject is the idea that one person has to write all sides of the issue. That's what we have community blogs and comment threads for.

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 06:38:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And that's why we have you, Miguel!

Thanks.

;)

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.

by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 08:18:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"Laying out" the problems of all forms of energy is an exercise that has been underway for some time.

The answers are in and they are obvious.   Nuclear power is safer than all of its alternatives.

The "nuclear problem" is that it is the only form of energy that people insist must be risk free.   It is not risk free, it is just incredibly better than everything else.

I really don't care who feels I am "browbeating."   I am no way dissuaded from asserting that the failure to build nuclear plants is in effect offering a sentence of death to human beings around the planet.

by NNadir on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 07:48:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The answers are in and they are obvious.   Nuclear power is safer than all of its alternatives.

How is nuclear safer than wind or tide power?

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.

by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 08:36:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Wind or tide are generally assumed to be unable to produce dependable base-load power and so aren't alternatives to nuclear power or fossil fuels for that function - back to the (as far as I know not very well justified) 30% limit for unreliable renewables.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 08:38:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I buy this for wind, and ergo for wave, but NOT tide.

You can predict hundreds of years ahead EXACTLY when tidal power is going to kick in and out, and plan around it. That seems pretty dependable (although admittedly sporadic) to me.

"The future is already here -- it's just not very evenly distributed" William Gibson

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 08:45:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
NNader said "safer", nothing more, in the quote.

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.
by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 08:51:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
(I think dependable base load power is a red herring.  It really assumes a lifestyle...sorta like "Well, everyone has to commute to work at the same time, don't they?"  Well, er, no.)

(Not to mention all the great ideas coming up about how to store energy to create a steady base.  I liked Migeru's idea of a huge spring being cranked down--or was it a huge weight on a spring being bent over?  All the technophiles should be raring to go...so much new technology! and loads more on the cusp of discovery.)

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.

by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 08:53:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't think it's quite a red herring, but I find the way it's been accepted as conventional wisdom slightly strange. It works on the assumption that we can't and won't do anything different with power usage than we have been doing.

Perhaps we should add a fifth element to Jérôme's Creed: smart power usage - using and/or storing sporadic power when it's available, cutting back when it's not. Maybe we can recharge our cars and delivery vans when it's sunny, windy or when the tide's running.

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 08:57:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It works on the assumption that we can't and won't do anything different

That's where the ideological edge lies, I think, both in the "can't" (a form of conservatism with a small c) and the "won't" (big business lobbying / human nature arguments)

Perhaps we should add a fifth element to Jérôme's Creed: smart power usage

Excellent.

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.

by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:00:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And there is a subject that has been aching and calling me for practically over a year now. The coverage on that item has been small - but I also think it's a subheader under what Jerome lists as "conservation".

The wars of coal vs nuclear and the wars between several renewables have always sparked the largest and  most intense debates.

Why has the debate on conservation remained so limited? Perhaps because no debate is needed and everyone sees it as a common wisdom? Then where can I find the plan of attack? Because I hardly can't. It's all scatter what I have found so far.

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:43:15 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Because there's no "magic bullet" there - solutions will come from all of us making efforts that we are motivated to do.

The closest to a "magic bullet" is the gas tax, or carbon tax, solution, as it gives a clear price signal to everybody. But many things are more complex than that, or require other kinds of efforts

  • information on energy efficiency of appliances
  • construction standards
  • tougher recycling obligations
  • more up-to-date information on prices of things like power, road availability, etc...

so that we have the icnentive to make the right choices, and that we are able to make them.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 10:57:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The big question that has stuck with me: where and what are those efforts and how can I - as an energy consumer - quickly implement them when so motivated?

Just like the patchwork of solutions for renewables, it's clear to me that there is similarly no "magic bullet" solutions when it comes to conservation and that here too a patchwork needs to welded. I should've been clearer on that - but it's wortwhile to have you stress that point. Yet that patchwork of today is what I called scatter. There's little structure - unless a new revolution has taken place which I've completely missed.

It comes back to markets and politics. The solutions you listed are (mostly) inherently political by nature because they are regulation-driven. Market forces -will- provide more conservation techniques and als more accessible (and reliable??) information on those conservation techniques when the energy crunch is in full swing. I, however, would prefer to stay ahead of the latter development (market forces), while in the meantime continue to ply the former (politics and regulation measures).

The Energy Conservation Wiki/Platform that Migeru came up with somewhere before last year's summer is what I have in mind when writing this.

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 12:18:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Perhaps we should add a fifth element to Jérôme's Creed: smart power usage - using and/or storing sporadic power when it's available, cutting back when it's not. Maybe we can recharge our cars and delivery vans when it's sunny, windy or when the tide's running.

I suppose that's included in energy efficiency/conservation, but maybe it needs to be a separate item, to flag that idea that using the same energy for the same purpose in different circumstances can make quite a big difference.


In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:29:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I know people who live on a small island in the Pac NW.  their community owns a generator.  they have electricity 12 hours a day -- about 8am to 8pm iirc.  they live comfortable lives...

where is it written that except for emergency rooms and the like, we have to have 24x7 electricity on demand?  we lived w/o it for 20,000 years, and now all of a sudden it is the end of civilisation if we have to fit our electric consumption into some kind of a schedule?

this idea that every human epoch prior to our own fossil binge was unrelievedly dark, dirty, smelly, cold, miserable and stupid I find historically naif and more than a wee bit arrogant.  we can't even match the lifespans of peasant farmers in the Caucasus, and we're the all time hotshots and pinnacle of human evolution?  but I bet the Romans thought the same, between swigs of Pb contaminated drinkies...

The difference between theory and practise in practise ...

by DeAnander (de_at_daclarke_dot_org) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:25:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
He says "safer than the alternatives", which implies that renewables are not considered "alternatives".

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 08:57:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
kerching!

"Because they can't generate enough power"

and round we go again...

Did we have any debates that summed this up anywhere?  I remember discussing wind turbines and railways with DoDo, there were some numbers in that.  And there was another debate where we worked out the power output of wind turbines plus geo-thermal plus solar.  Then we can add wave power (anyone got any info on that?) and there were those European Parliament translator chaps and chapesses, one of whom had a link to a site with that funky map showing PV across the sahara and down into the arabin peninsula, wind around the top left of europe, geo thermal to the centre right...

So maybe throw out the challenge:

Can someone show me the proof that renewables can't supply Europe (and by implication any other large group of countries = all humans on the planet) with enough energy to...

And there's another merry-go-round there.

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.

by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:05:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
No, because there are advantages to using fuels. If your specification includes the ability to deploy anywhere, scale arbitrarily, or provide mobility and autonomy renewables can't compete with fuels. Which goes back to Starvid's tagline "peak oil is not an energy crisis, it's a liquid fuel crisis".

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:14:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That sounds a set of problems at the margins rather than in the main line of day-to-day living where most of our energy usage is.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:19:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Unless you're talking about hydrocarbons and you live in suburbia. Starvid is very happy with his electric scooter feeding off nuclear.

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:20:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Does living in suburbia need liquid fuels for some reason?
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:21:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It needs either fuels or batteries for vehicles. Note that transportation fuels need not be a source of energy but only a store of energy. Synthetic hydrocarbons would also work.

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:28:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Or small nuclear power plants in each vehicle. That'd be ok too.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:31:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Nah, too much need for radiation protection.

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:35:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Think of the new markets for lead underwear though. It'd be a new industrial revolution!
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:38:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Isn't there a theory that lead poisoning brought down the Roman Empire?

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:41:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
A theory?!? The Romans were solely responsible for boosting the atmospheric lead pollution to such levels they are recognisable as anthropolical markers in ice cores. The whole elite of Romans who drank wine (and who at that time didn't?) is suspect to have suffered of chronic and heavy lead poisoning.

The evidence, however, remains scant - because the Romans cremated when possible. And because the elite had the money to cremate their deceased - little adult bones have been preserved. But children bones have - and each analysis shows they were over the top contaminated with lead. Even although children have a larger uptake of lead into their system, the evidence that the entire Roman civilisation was high on lead is stacking.

Thanks for that. This was part of my thesis subject.

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:50:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Putting the whole blame of the destruction of the Roman Empire on Pb - would be a little too much credit for one element.

But contributed? Very feasible, in my mind.

by Nomad (Bjinse) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:53:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

"Because they can't generate enough power"

That's emphatically not the issue. The issue is electricity that's available 24/7, instantly on demand.

renewables like wind and solar are not available when needed, but when the resource (wind, sun) is there, which makes them less useful to respond to some form of demand.

Now, there are many ways around that (storage systems, use of that power for non-time sensitive demand, etc...), but it is an issue.


In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:32:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If that is not the issue, what makes nuclear safer than wind or tide power?  (Or geo-thermal, etc...)

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.
by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 04:12:49 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The issue is not total capacity but intermittency and the inability to adjust production to demand.

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jan 10th, 2007 at 03:41:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]
...which I think is pretty much a red-herring argument (see comments elsewhere, including Jerome's link to the wind turbines --> compressed air situation in the U.S.)

Don't fight forces, use them R. Buckminster Fuller.
by rg (leopold dot lepster at google mail dot com) on Wed Jan 10th, 2007 at 08:17:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
No, it's a real source of uncertainty: we don't know if we can store enough energy to buffer the unreliability of wind etc. If we can't work out a way of doing so we need to provide base-load from somewhere else.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Wed Jan 10th, 2007 at 08:32:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Can passive geothermal provide the baseload?

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jan 10th, 2007 at 08:34:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Some of it, at least. We know it's going to have to be a patchwork depending on local conditions.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Wed Jan 10th, 2007 at 08:36:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I guess it's the sporadicity (is that a word??) that's the problem: if the tide isn't favourable during the tea-breaks in the Blair-Bush trial then you'll need something else to pick up the slack.

I'm not all that convinced by the 30% limit anyway  - last time we went looking for  justification it came down to one study somewhere that has been accepted as conventional wisdom.

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 08:52:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I think its the mix of "sporadicity" and "predictability". Tide is sporadic, but predictable.

"The future is already here -- it's just not very evenly distributed" William Gibson
by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:45:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
One of the two Danish energy companies (no eco-freaks by any means) estimated that 50% for wind can be achieved without major changes.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:04:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's a more optimistic number than I'd seen. I'm guessing that with a bit of intelligence built into the system we can probably manage 75% or so from wind/tide/solar and small scale bio-reactor type projects. I don't know that we can do 100%, especially in places that have limited options.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:08:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Geothermal is available virtualy everywhere.

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:10:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Assuming it doesn't knock your cottage down.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:10:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Or cause a mud volcano.

Those whom the Gods wish to destroy They first make mad. -- Euripides
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:16:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Also a danger.

Though I suppose you could build mud turbines to take advantage of that.

by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:20:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I provided some links in my diary last year on the cost of electricity.

My understanding is that it is possible to go to at least 20% (in kWh) wind with minimal ajustments to the networks, and that it is possible to get significantly higher (say 40%) with more significant ivnestment in the network.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:35:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Which diary was that? I'm a bit confused on this one, because I'm sure that the sourcing I've seen was limited.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:36:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Nuclear power is safer than all of its alternatives.

Safer than wind? In Finland or Chad?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Tue Jan 9th, 2007 at 09:02:53 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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