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The other big paper, Gazeta Wyborcza, reports a more precise turnout at 55.3%. They also bring a seat distribution prediction:

PO (Civic Platform) 227
PiS (Law and Order = Terrible Twins' party) 158
LiD (Left and Democrats) 47
PSL (Polish Peasants Party) 27
German minority 2

Majority is 231, so either PO-PSL, or maybe they try the Romanian model and try to convince some parlamentarians to change party colours.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Oct 21st, 2007 at 05:32:34 PM EST
Is PO-LiD out of the question?

I think I saw somewhere that to overrule presidential veto you need 60%, which would be 277 seats and would need PO+LiD+PSL (or large parts thereof) voting in favor.

Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se

by A swedish kind of death on Sun Oct 21st, 2007 at 06:22:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
In this region, nothing is out of question, parties that viewed each other as arch-enemies can come together. I am curious what will be.

The latest seat distribution figures BTW, at 90.% counted:

PO 208
PiS 164
LiD 52
PSL 35

60% would be 277, indeed all three needed.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Oct 22nd, 2007 at 07:25:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Slight shifts away from PSL at 99% counted:

PO 209
PiS 166
LiD 53
PSL 31

From the little I could decrypt from Gazeta:

  • a PO-PSL coalition is talked about
  • in the expat vote, while in Europe, PO won by a high margin, in the US, PiS won by a high margin!


*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Oct 22nd, 2007 at 04:47:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Definitely a minority government seems possible. Do they need a majority of votes to form a government, or just a plurality? If all the PO parlamentarians vote for Tusk and 8 others abstain, they win the vote.

We have met the enemy, and it is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Oct 22nd, 2007 at 10:32:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I don't think minority government works in Poland. That would require a certain minimum of civility and respect from the opponents.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Oct 22nd, 2007 at 04:38:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If I were Polish I'd steal that for my signature.

We have met the enemy, and it is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Thu Oct 25th, 2007 at 04:35:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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