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The M3 money supply: much ado about nothing? | 29 comments (27 topical, 2 editorial, 0 hidden)
Re: M3 does not explain the asset bubble ... (none / 0)
Is M2 growing at the same rate as M3, or M2 ex M1 growing at the same rate as M3 ex M2?

If M3 ex M2 is growing faster than M2, then it is indeed at least compatible with growing financial wealth faster than incomes are growing ... and while there are various scenarios where that could happen, an asset bubble is one of the most straightforward.

M2 rather than M2 ex M1, since high income nations passed heavy reliance by retail and commercial enterprises on overdraft lines of credit decades ago ... M1 on its own doesn't directly indicate much about the total liquidity of the system.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Sun Oct 7th, 2007 at 08:27:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Re: M3 does not explain the asset bubble ... (none / 0)
It is M2 ex M1 growing at the same rate as M3, and M3 ex M2 growing faster than M2.

I have to admit this is beginning to make my head spin.

We have met the enemy, and it is us — Pogo

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Oct 8th, 2007 at 01:14:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Re: M3 does not explain the asset bubble ... (none / 1)
Don't M2 ex M1 ... just M2.

M1 was certainly distinctly money before WWI, and at least in the US, even in the 50's many retail and commercial enterprises relied heavily on overdraft lines of credit, leaving a substantial distinction between cheques and saving accounts ... but today, whether the wage bill is coming out of retained earnings or is financed, it spends very little time in the cheque account of the employer, making the distinction between M1 and M2 mostly useful for tracing out things like how hard banks have to work to get deposits into CD's and other lower-reserve accounts in order to free up the reserves to issue loans.

So M2 as a percentage of M3, M3 ex M2 as a percentage of M3, and M1 as a percentage of M2 as a secondary indicator of what's going on.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Mon Oct 8th, 2007 at 04:58:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The M3 money supply: much ado about nothing? | 29 comments (27 topical, 2 editorial, 0 hidden)
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