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A more critical background. 50% of electricity from wind by 2020 was an actual declared goal of the previous, Social-Democrat government, already in the late nineties. But enter current PM Anders Fogh Rasmussen, a dogmatic neoliberal (who denied it to first get elected): when taking office in 2001, he elminiated or reduced most wind subsidies. A direct result was the collapse of the Danish wind market and hard times for the big Danish turbine producers before they could switch to exports. Ironically, the one subsidy he let temporarily in place, for repowering, produced a short-lived second boom way beyond expectations.

But rather than turbines owned/rented by farmers on land, the Social Democrat plan relied heavily on big government-supported, utility-owned off-shore wind farms. In this field, Rasmussen had more difficulty backing out, since the big utilities wanted the projects. At one point, he was forced to give consent to a part of the originally planned off-shore farms, and argued for no consent to all the planned by saying that those consented are enough to keep Denmark in plan, since wind on land progressed more than planned...

I note that the two big utilities are pushing for more wind with studies for a time now. Two years ago, there was a study proving that the Scandinavian grid can take 50% Danish wind with little modifications.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Nov 19th, 2007 at 05:01:04 AM EST
Thank you for the background, information.  

So, how should we take this report?

And, well, it shows the importance of political consistency for achieving long-term objectives re energy efficiency / renewable power (and, well, other Global Warming related issues).

Blogging regularly at Get Energy Smart. NOW!!!

by a siegel (siegeadATgmailIGNORETHISdotPLEASEcom) on Mon Nov 19th, 2007 at 08:05:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I take it as heavy lobbying towards a government narrowly re-elected just a week ago, and a sign that should this government fall at last in 4 or even 8 years (not to speak of 1-2, should this government fall apart), 50% by 2025 will almost certainly be achieved.

BTW, you can check up-to-date Danish wind power installation, decommissioning and production data (Excel!), and  monthly data for the whole electricity sector (Excel!). In the first link, you can see the 2001 drop, 2002 re-powering jump, and the slump since. From the second link, one can calculate wind's share in the brutto (with grid losses) electricity consumption:

(Note: last few years' variation is mostly due to weather, this year looks to end a series of bad wind years.) You see that 30% by 2025 is not at all ambitious.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Nov 19th, 2007 at 10:14:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Looking more at the statistics, I add: in Denmark, both consumption and wind power generation peak in January. In January this year, wind's share was a record 35.6%! I know that already the year before, on some stormy days West Denmark was on 100% wind.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Nov 19th, 2007 at 10:23:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I note that the two big utilities are pushing for more wind with studies for a time now. Two years ago, there was a study proving that the Scandinavian grid can take 50% Danish wind with little modifications.

Sounds resonable. Sweden and Norway has lots and lots of hydro power. And for regulatory purposes hydro is great.

Sweden's finest (and perhaps only) collaborative, leftist e-newspaper Synapze.se

by A swedish kind of death on Mon Nov 19th, 2007 at 11:00:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Looking forward to being paid by Denmark for supplying the stable power supply needed by a 50 % wind grid...

That is, not the power itself, but the guarantee that power will be forthcoming if needed.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Mon Nov 19th, 2007 at 08:45:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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