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I can't post a link from my phone, but yesterday's Democratic debate was very interesting -- not for any real substance but rather from the perspective if strategy.  For the first time, I'm not counting out John Edwards.  He may just pull out a win in Iowa.  Hillary is in deep, deep trouble and seems poised to destroy herself in a collapse that would make Howard Dean's crash look positively mild.  There are little moments in campaigns when you can see the big hit coming, not unlike watching a linebacker find a hole straight to the quarterback in American football.  Obama made a complete fool of her, and she seems to have come across looking incredibly arrogant, judging by people's reactions.

So Edwards or Obama in Iowa.  That's my call three weeks out.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri Dec 14th, 2007 at 04:59:15 AM EST
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That is good news, especially about the HRC crash and burn. If you find a youtube for some of the more indicative bits, let us know.

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Fri Dec 14th, 2007 at 08:21:48 AM EST
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The question becomes:  Which one survives, Edwards or Obama?  What's clear to me is that the Clintons have completed alienated supporters of the two, and so if Edwards survives, he'll take Obama's supporters, and vice versa.  That matters a lot in the Iowa Caucus.

The Clintons launched what I can only describe as one of the sleaziest attacks (Willie Horton sleazy; Reagan in Philadelphia, Mississippi, sleazy) I've ever seen or heard of on Obama over his drug use in high school and college when Bill Shaheen questioned whether Obama had ever sold drugs -- that question, of course, being meant to conjure images of violent young black men dealing crack on the streets of an urban neighborhood.  It really did reaffirm what a lot of Dems suspected about her.

It was so sleazy that Joe Trippi, Edwards's chief strategist, actually confronted Mark Penn, Clinton's chief strategist, on Hardball on it after the debate.  Penn repeatedly used the word "cocaine," which is textbook, Lee-Atwater dirty politics.  (As in, "We apologize for one of our supporters accusing Barack Obama of dealing COCAINE.  We believe his use of COCAINE has no relevance in this campaign.")  Trippi kept giving quite a look to Penn, and you could tell he was ready to tear Penn's head off right there on camera.  

So basically, Hillary and her supporters have succeeded in uniting the Edwards and Obama supporters (and increasingly supporters of the second tier candidates), which wasn't difficult, since they were never really far from each other in the first place.  That would, with proper timing, leave one of the two with a majority of support among primary and caucus voters.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri Dec 14th, 2007 at 09:07:28 AM EST
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