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If you assume a fertility rate of one child per woman you end up with a vegetative growth rate of about -1% which means it takes about 70 years for population to drop to the level of the 1960's which is where I believe it might be sustainable assuming average consumption also drops to 1960's levels.

In other words: overpopulation is so bad of a problem at this point, as there isn't much that can humanely be done to reduce population faster than 1% per year, that reductions in consumption also need to be undertaken. Over to you.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 03:49:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I agree that modest population control and decline is not enough, absolutely; but I believe that any proposed 'solution' to the ills of the world, be they environmental, economic, social, or what-have-you, is just so much smoke in the wind if it ignores population issues.
Over-population IS the fundamental problem behind so many we face.  If we can't face it, then f%# it.
by Andhakari on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 10:01:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm beginning to lean towards triage.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Dec 5th, 2007 at 10:26:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Overpopulation can only be remedied with an increase in literacy as Emanuel Todd has pointed out. There should be tremendous incentives to have the world's population become literate; then they can experience personal freedom and realize their quality of life will improve if they procreate less.
by An American in London on Thu Dec 6th, 2007 at 03:38:58 AM EST
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I've heard that for the last 40 years, and the world population has bloomed like the red tide...
by Andhakari on Fri Dec 7th, 2007 at 05:13:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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