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Bayrou has some good reasons to be optimist, royal is in free fall (-2% even after showing her "program").
by fredouil (fredouil@gmailgmailgmail.com) on Mon Feb 12th, 2007 at 09:46:58 PM EST
You crack me up. Dream on.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Tue Feb 13th, 2007 at 01:50:05 AM EST
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a bit of course, but it s getting tuff for royal, bove is doing better and better.

if bove takes 2-3% and her still offering 2% per month to Bayrou, we will have an interesting Sarko-Bayrou ;-).

i would not bet on her.

by fredouil (fredouil@gmailgmailgmail.com) on Tue Feb 13th, 2007 at 02:02:53 AM EST
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by oldfrog on Tue Feb 13th, 2007 at 03:25:38 AM EST
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yes, royal lost 8% in little bit more than a month and the trend looks quite linear.

if bove get his 500 signatures (and with his network, it is likely) they will have to start to worry seriously at the socialist party.

by fredouil (fredouil@gmailgmailgmail.com) on Tue Feb 13th, 2007 at 03:36:35 AM EST
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  1. I don't think that her Sunday speech will give her more than a temporary marginal boost. It can even have the opposite result. I think that a lot of people have become really afraid of the leftist positions, they have heard that before and it didn't work.

  2. Her proposals - exactly as Mitterand did 1981 - would lead France direct into the wall. Which would mean a complete turnaround to "liberal" policies exactly like Mitterand. A whole generation hasn't forgotten that.

  3. it's probable that Bové will get his 500. The UMP will fix that.
by oldfrog on Tue Feb 13th, 2007 at 04:03:40 AM EST
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Real polls need more than one day to be made...

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Tue Feb 13th, 2007 at 03:04:04 AM EST
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