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Yes, and thats the paradox -- its also clear that he's gunning for protest votes ("renverser la table") which means those who might be intending or considering voting LePen. I get the sense he's trying a delicate balancing act, trying to run as the bien-pensant centrist and at the same time, trying to run as an outsider/anti-politician. I don't think he can pull it off.

But clearly he's benefitting from both the turn in Royal's rhetoric from center to the left and the general unease on the center-right with Sarkozy. Not clear that he's pulling at all from the margins, though.

I've always thought/ heard that his ceiling is about 9% because too many well-educated, pro-European, centrist voters won't support a Christian Democrat. He seems to have burst through by playing down the CDU heritage and trying to run more like a radical.

by desmoulins (gsb6@lycos.com) on Thu Feb 22nd, 2007 at 12:55:09 AM EST
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