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These #s are largely unchanged for those sub-groups since last winter. Royal's support has been very weak all along among older, more conservative women. >55 has been a right-wing constituency for the entire 5th Republic, which makes no sense given what the right wants to do to retirement age and pensions.

But the race wont' be won by winning over these groups; it'll be won by winning over better-educated, better-off, younger urban men and women and by increasing turnout among traditional left-voting but lazy (in 02) constituencies among students, teachers, civil servants.

by desmoulins (gsb6@lycos.com) on Thu Feb 22nd, 2007 at 09:51:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, given these are the only groups where Sarkozy is winning and overall he is winning, I guess they're important in numbers.

I'd be curious as of the real reason for the massive right-wing vote of those people. Inheritance tax? Paris-Match+TF1 all day?

by Laurent GUERBY on Thu Feb 22nd, 2007 at 11:03:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
These generations are those that came of age in the 50's and early 60's.

They grew up idolising De Gaulle, at a time where the left were evil commies whose tanks were coming from the left, and thus tend to vote to the right.

They are also frightened by crime and violence (that arguably they know mostly thanks to TF1). They also never understood the dislike of "authority" by post-1968 generations.

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères

by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Thu Feb 22nd, 2007 at 12:14:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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