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Issues I see:

  1. Besson is correct that the PS has been weak during the last opposition period, but I don't know if Sego is as to blame for that as much as Jospin.

  2. We all here kind of sneakily hoped that Sego could do the impossible: Reunite a shattered left and sweep to power against a well-presented candidate from the right with lots of friends in the media (Sarko.)

I'll still live in hope, but we should realise what a tall order it is. I think blaming Sego too much for structural problems on the left is maybe not productive.

3) Structural problems I see include:

a) the failures of some on the left to engage a constituency who are being excluded economically. Many of them are not as concerned with immigration as Le Pen, but it seems only he is engaging with them about their economic decline.

b) There is still no compact (as evidenced by the Le Pen-Chirac second round) that unites many factions.

4) Bayrou may yet rattle Sarkozy, which would be good for democracy even if it doesn't end up helping Sego. Someone has to get in the way of this media snowball. If they do not, I fear Sarko is going to get in and be given a "media mandate" to deeply change France on a "business" blueprint.

If that's what the people want, then fair enough, but seeing random interviews on UK TV with people who watched "Sego's big performance" and pronounced themselves "unconvinced" and "disappointed" with her, it's not at all clear to me that people understand the deeply corporation centric things Sarko wants to do.

by Metatone (metatone [a|t] gmail (dot) com) on Wed Feb 21st, 2007 at 02:25:15 PM EST

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