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One thing about Jospin (beyond the competence is boring/he's not lefty enough/let's have some major league scaremongering) was that it looked like he would survive not winning - he did not want the job enough.

That cannot be said of SR. She has also successfully neutralised the scaremongering angle. The past 3 weeks have been full of "boules puantes", and ugly non-campaigning campaigning. The Sarkozystes complain about SR's supposed lack of a programme, when she's announced both a date and a method to get there (the "listening phase"). He HAS announced a programme, and yet it is not discussed at all. I hope the contrast after 11 February will be stark.

He has nothing. He has nothing to run on (he spends his time saying that everything is dark and bad - as if he hadn't been the n°2 of the government for the past 5 years) and nothing to sell. So it's going to be negative campaigning and dirty tricks all the time, and I'm not sure it will help him, because in that context, it is Le Pen that he has to beat, not SR.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Mon Feb 5th, 2007 at 03:04:20 PM EST
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