Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
The french presidential election is mostly focused on candidate personality not programs, and I'd add poll of the day for this election more than any other before.

Latest polls http://www.lemonde.fr/web/article/0,1-0@2-823448,36-896340@51-841384,0.html

  • CSA 10 april shows NS 26 / SR 23 / FB 21 / JMLP 15, second round  NS 51 / SR 49.

  • IFOP 13 april show NS 28 / SR 24 / FB 18 / JMLP 13 and second round NS 53 / SR 47.

Since JMLP vote is pretty hard to evaluate for pollsters, we have a configuration were 4 candidates have a real chance of getting to the second round.

I'd add that there were an exceptional amount of new voters (young and french abroad), plus a "woman" factor so it should be even harder for pollsters...

If you read french here is a blog-fiction of 22 april:

http://dinersroom.free.fr/index.php?2007/04/11/429-le-22-avril-soiree-electorale-du-premier-tour-fic tion-2

by Laurent GUERBY on Sat Apr 14th, 2007 at 04:47:12 PM EST

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