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I haven't seen any polls for Hessen - it's too far out (01/28/08). The state is a traditional stronghold of the SPD, albeit with a pretty conservative streak of social-democratic voters. You're probably right about Koch. We'll see.

If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)
by brainwave on Mon May 14th, 2007 at 08:34:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Check state polls for Hessen here. From the last poll, if the Left Party would trip over the limit, it would actually prevent a right-wing majority (though probably still only a Grand Coalition under Koch would be the result). However, you are right it is far away, and who knows what populist theme Koch plans to ride until then...

While working-class Frankfurt and the Protestant Northeast may be SPD strongholds, the belt of Frankfurt (where I lived) was mixed, the sides of the Taunus are full of well-off conservatives, and the East (region of Fulda) is dominated by an arch-conservative CDU. (Do you remember the Hohmann affair? "Tätervolk"? He was from there. [Incidentally, one eighth of my ancestry also came from there.])

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon May 14th, 2007 at 10:00:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Sure I remember. My personal memory of Hessian politics goes back to the days of Holger Boerner. It's overall a conservative state, even if "culturally" traditionally pro-SPD. I suspect religion may have something to do with it. I believe the north of the state is mostly protestant and therefore SPD-leaning. Whereas the Fulda area is one of the most intensely catholic spots in the country, and of course staunchly CDU. Beautiful region nonetheless.

If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)
by brainwave on Mon May 14th, 2007 at 10:35:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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